Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Oct 3, 2026 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Bernard 18' goal
  • Fred 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ignacio Sosa 84'

Atletico Mineiro vs Bragantino - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Sep 19, 2026 8.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 1 Chapecoense
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Tomás Cuello

Bragantino

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 10.30pm
Flamengo 2 - 1 Bragantino
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Lucas Barbosa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 55.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.11% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.22%) and 2-0 (10.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%) , while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Mineiro 55.35% ▲ (+0.31)
Draw 25.11% ▲ (+0.10)
Bragantino 19.54% ▼ (-0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.9% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.32% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 27.68% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 47.84% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 2.5 52.16% ▲ (+0.36)
Over 3.5 25.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 74.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 14.74% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 85.26% ▼ (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 39.09% ▼ (-0.10)
Draw 41.74% ▲ (+0.04)
Bragantino 19.17% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 55.4% ▼ (-0.57)
No Goal 8.09% ▲ (+0.07)
Bragantino 36.51% ▲ (+0.50)

Corners

Over 8 66.08% ▲ (+0.29)
Equal 8 10.45% ▼ (-0.32)
Under 8 23.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 54.69% ▲ (+0.62)
Equal 9 11.39% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 9 33.92% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 10.5 43.33% ▲ (+0.91)
Under 10.5 56.67% ▼ (-0.91)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 48.88% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 51.12% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 22.66% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 77.34% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 3.5 8.47% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 91.53% ▼ (-0.15)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5 54.58% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 0.5 45.42% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 1.5 21.15% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 1.5 78.85% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 2.5 6.25% ▼ (-0.35)
Under 2.5 93.75% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 3.5 1.45% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 3.5 98.55% ▲ (+0.10)

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 55.36%
Draw 25.12%
Bragantino 19.54%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 13.26% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 10.22% ▼ (-0.07)
2-0 @ 10.18% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.56% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 55.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% ▲ (+0.18)
0-0 @ 8.09% ▲ (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.12% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.12%
Bragantino
0-1 @ 6.35% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.13)
0-2 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 19.54%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Aug 19, 2026 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena MRV
  • Tomás Cuello 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Maycon  52' goal
  • Tomás Cuello 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Eric Ramires 44'
  • goal Eric Ramires 45'+8'
  • goal Eduardo Sasha 81'
  • yellowcard Alix 88'
Copa Sudamericana
Aug 12, 2026 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques
  • Juninho Capixaba 52' yellowcard
  • Lucas Barbosa 81' yellowcard
  • goal Tomás Cuello 73'
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Feb 4, 2026 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques
  • Gustavo Neves 38' goal
  • Isidro Pitta 66' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Sosa 66' yellowcard
  • Fabinho 66' yellowcard
  • Fabinho 67' yellowcard
  • Ignacio Sosa 67' yellowcard
  • Pedro Henrique 71' yellowcard
  • Eric Ramires 81' yellowcard
  • Eric Ramires 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Cuello 46'
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 46'
  • yellowcard Tomás Cuello 46'
  • yellowcard Reinier Jesus 63'
  • yellowcard Reinier 63'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Scarpa 71'
  • yellowcard Mamady Cissé 88'
Brasileiro
Nov 16, 2025 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 18
Aug 3, 2025 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Sep 22, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Deyverson 37' goal
  • Carlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de Castro 52' goal
  • Hulk 78' goal
  • Everson 84' yellowcard
  • Lyanco 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arthur Sousa Araujo 70'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Santos 82'
  • yellowcard Matheus Fernandes 85'