Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Atletico Mineiro
Sep 19, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena MRV
Chapecoense
  • Vitor Hugo  48' yellowcard
  • Vitor Hugo 48' yellowcard
  • Mateo Cassierra 69' goal
  • Vitão 81' yellowcard
  • goal Tulio Eduardo 44'
  • yellowcard Fernando 90'

Atletico Mineiro vs Chapecoense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 8.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 3 - 1 Fluminense
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Tomás Cuello

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 9.00pm
Chapecoense 1 - 2 Internacional
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Marcinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 66.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.57% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 11.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.94%) and 2-1 (10.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%) , while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Atletico Mineiro 66.44% ▼ (-0.38)
Draw 21.57% ▲ (+0.27)
Chapecoense 11.96% ▲ (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.56% ▲ (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.88% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 27.12% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 48.81% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 2.5 51.19% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 3.5 26.98% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 3.5 73.02% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 4.5 16.79% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 4.5 83.21% ▼ (-0.30)

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 42.61% ▼ (-0.74)
Draw 44.24% ▲ (+0.43)
Chapecoense 13.14% ▲ (+0.31)

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 68.35% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 7.71% ▲ (+0.05)
Chapecoense 23.94% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 69.53% ▲ (+0.25)
Equal 8 10.01%
Under 8 20.47% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 9 58.28% ▲ (+0.22)
Equal 9 11.25% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 9 30.47% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 10.5 46.74% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 10.5 53.26% ▼ (-0.18)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 56.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 43.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 28.74% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 2.5 71.26% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 12.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 87.93% ▼ (-0.03)

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5 44.62% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 0.5 55.38% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 1.5 14.06% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 1.5 85.94% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 2.5 3.35% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 2.5 96.65% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 3.5 0.74% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 99.26% ▼ (-0.11)

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 66.44%
Draw 21.57%
Chapecoense 11.96%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 14.89% ▼ (-0.12)
2-0 @ 12.94% ▼ (-0.15)
2-1 @ 10.46% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 5.85% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 12.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 66.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.76% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.71% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.10)
Other @ 0.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 21.57%
Chapecoense
0-1 @ 4.49% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.69% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 11.96%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Chapecoense
Apr 2, 2026 11.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Arena Condá
Atletico Mineiro
  • Jean Carlos 20' yellowcard
  • Ênio 46' yellowcard
  • Higor Meritão 46' yellowcard
  • Kevin Ramírez 46' yellowcard
  • Neto Pessoa 76' yellowcard
  • goal Bernard 23'
  • goal Reinier 30'
  • goal Tomás Cuello 35'
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 67'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Scarpa 67'
  • yellowcard Dudu 81'
  • yellowcard Mateo Cassierra 81'
  • yellowcard Mateo Cassierra 82'
  • yellowcard Kauã Pascini 86'
  • goal Dudu 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Chapecoense
Oct 6, 2021 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Atletico Mineiro
  • Geuvanio 28' goal
  • Rene Junior 44' yellowcard
  • Mike 70' goal
  • Keiller 89' yellowcard
  • goal Dylan Borrero 19'
  • yellowcard Nathan Silva 68'
  • goal Eduardo Sasha 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Atletico Mineiro
Jun 22, 2021 12.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Chapecoense
  • Tche Tche 25' goal
  • Hulk 59' yellowcard
  • goal Ravanelli 80'
  • yellowcard Ignacio da Silva Oliveira 84'
  • yellowcard Ignacio 84'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Atletico Mineiro
Oct 30, 2019 10.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Raimundo Sampaio (Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais)
Chapecoense
  • Igor Rabello 68' yellowcard
  • Juan Cazares 84' yellowcard
  • Romulo Otero 88' yellowcard
  • goal Henrique Almeida 6'
  • yellowcard Roberto 32'
  • yellowcard Henrique Almeida 37'
  • goal Everaldo Stum 50'
  • yellowcard Dalberto 62'
Brasileiro
Chapecoense
Jul 14, 2019 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Atletico Mineiro
  • Everaldo 1' goal
  • Alan 10' yellowcard
  • Eduardo 61' yellowcard
  • Douglas 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonardo Silva 2'
  • yellowcard Vinicius 13'
  • goal Iago Maidana 80'
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernandez 85'
  • yellowcard Iago Maidana 94'
  • yellowcard Maicon 97'
  • goal Vinicius 99'
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Chapecoense
Oct 6, 2018 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Atletico Mineiro
  • Agustin Doffo 73' yellowcard
  • Eduardo 74' yellowcard
  • Bruno Pacheco 81' yellowcard
  • Agustin Doffo 93' goal
  • yellowcard Denilson 76'
  • yellowcard David Terans 92'
  • yellowcard Elias 93'

Form Data

Atletico Mineiro 4 - 2 Santos
Atletico Mineiro 3 - 1 Fluminense
Santos 2 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Sao Paulo 2 - 0 Atletico Mineiro
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Cruzeiro
Atletico Mineiro 2 - 1 Vitoria
Chapecoense 1 - 2 Internacional
Corinthians 1 - 2 Chapecoense
Gremio 3 - 1 Chapecoense
Chapecoense 1 - 0 Sao Paulo
Chapecoense 3 - 3 Bahia
Coritiba 2 - 1 Chapecoense