Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Sep 19, 2026 8.00pm
Arena MRV

Atletico Mineiro vs Chapecoense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 8.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 3 - 1 Fluminense
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Tomás Cuello

Chapecoense

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 9.00pm
Chapecoense 1 - 2 Internacional
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Marcinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 66.37%. A draw has a probability of 21.52% and a win for Chapecoense has a probability of 12.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (13.25%) and 2-1 (10.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.86%) , while for a Chapecoense win it is 0-1 (4.67%).

Result

Atletico Mineiro 66.37% (+0.07)
Draw 21.52% (-0.18)
Chapecoense 12.11% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.38% (+1.43)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.32% (+0.83)
Under 1.5 27.68% (-0.84)
Over 2.5 47.77% (+1.06)
Under 2.5 52.23% (-1.06)
Over 3.5 25.29% (+0.37)
Under 3.5 74.71% (-0.38)
Over 4.5 15.43% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 84.57% (-0.14)

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 44.88% (+2.00)
Draw 42.49% (-2.34)
Chapecoense 12.63% (+0.36)

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 68.38% (+0.18)
No Goal 7.8% (-0.30)
Chapecoense 23.82% (+0.13)

Corners

Over 8 68.32% (+3.12)
Equal 8 10.59% (-0.02)
Under 8 21.09% (-3.11)
Over 9 56.48% (+2.75)
Equal 9 11.85% (+0.38)
Under 9 31.68% (-3.12)
Over 10.5 44.46% (+2.10)
Under 10.5 55.54% (-2.10)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 55.88% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 44.12% (-0.58)
Over 2.5 27.68% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 72.32% (-0.25)
Over 3.5 11.21% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 88.79% (-0.16)

Chapecoense Goals

Over 0.5 44.61% (+0.58)
Under 0.5 55.39% (-0.58)
Over 1.5 13.63% (+0.45)
Under 1.5 86.37% (-0.44)
Over 2.5 3.04% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 96.96% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 0.58% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.42% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 66.37%
Draw 21.52%
Chapecoense 12.11%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 15.21% (-0.35)
2-0 @ 13.25% (-0.14)
2-1 @ 10.72% (+0.31)
3-0 @ 7.94% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.73% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.33% (-0.03)
Other @ 11.19% (+0.17)
Total : 66.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.86% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 7.8% (-0.30)
2-2 @ 3.37% (+0.17)
Other @ 0.02% (-0.01)
Total : 21.52%
Chapecoense
0-1 @ 4.67% (-0.20)
1-2 @ 3.45% (+0.23)
0-2 @ 1.44% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 12.11%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Apr 2, 2026 11.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Arena Condá
  • Jean Carlos 20' yellowcard
  • Ênio 46' yellowcard
  • Higor Meritão 46' yellowcard
  • Kevin Ramírez 46' yellowcard
  • Neto Pessoa 76' yellowcard
  • goal Bernard 23'
  • goal Reinier 30'
  • goal Tomás Cuello 35'
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 67'
  • yellowcard Gustavo Scarpa 67'
  • yellowcard Dudu 81'
  • yellowcard Mateo Cassierra 81'
  • yellowcard Mateo Cassierra 82'
  • yellowcard Kauã Pascini 86'
  • goal Dudu 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 24
Oct 6, 2021 11.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Geuvanio 28' goal
  • Rene Junior 44' yellowcard
  • Mike 70' goal
  • Keiller 89' yellowcard
  • goal Dylan Borrero 19'
  • yellowcard Nathan Silva 68'
  • goal Eduardo Sasha 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 5
Jun 22, 2021 12.00am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tche Tche 25' goal
  • Hulk 59' yellowcard
  • goal Ravanelli 80'
  • yellowcard Ignacio da Silva Oliveira 84'
  • yellowcard Ignacio 84'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 30, 2019 10.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Raimundo Sampaio (Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais)
  • Igor Rabello 68' yellowcard
  • Juan Cazares 84' yellowcard
  • Romulo Otero 88' yellowcard
  • goal Henrique Almeida 6'
  • yellowcard Roberto 32'
  • yellowcard Henrique Almeida 37'
  • goal Everaldo Stum 50'
  • yellowcard Dalberto 62'
Brasileiro
Jul 14, 2019 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Everaldo 1' goal
  • Alan 10' yellowcard
  • Eduardo 61' yellowcard
  • Douglas 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leonardo Silva 2'
  • yellowcard Vinicius 13'
  • goal Iago Maidana 80'
  • yellowcard Lucas Hernandez 85'
  • yellowcard Iago Maidana 94'
  • yellowcard Maicon 97'
  • goal Vinicius 99'
Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Oct 6, 2018 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Agustin Doffo 73' yellowcard
  • Eduardo 74' yellowcard
  • Bruno Pacheco 81' yellowcard
  • Agustin Doffo 93' goal
  • yellowcard Denilson 76'
  • yellowcard David Terans 92'
  • yellowcard Elias 93'