Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Sep 5, 2026 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques
  • Lucas Barbosa 14' goal
  • Fernando  43' yellowcard
  • Santiago Ramos Mingo 45'+1' goal
  • Alix 90'+12' yellowcard
  • goal Luciano Juba 34'
  • goal Alejo Veliz 38'
  • goal Erick 50'
  • yellowcard Erick 51'
  • yellowcard Luciano Juba 62'

Bragantino vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bragantino

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 12.00am
Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Bragantino
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Isidro Pitta

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Aug 30, 2026 11.30pm
Bahia 3 - 2 Internacional
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Luciano Juba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (7.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result

Bragantino 45.86% ▼ (-0.15)
Draw 26.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Bahia 28.06% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.55% ▲ (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 25.97% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 49.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 50.68% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 26.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 73.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 14.93% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 85.07% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Bragantino 32.8% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 46.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Bahia 20.93% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Bragantino 54.88% ▼ (-0.09)
No Goal 7.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Bahia 37.89% ▲ (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 61.46% ▼ (-0.14)
Equal 8 10.71% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 27.83% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 9 50.27% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 38.54% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 10.5 39.51% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 10.5 60.49% ▲ (+0.17)

Bragantino Goals

Over 1.5 43.46% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 56.54% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 18.32% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 81.68% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 6.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.71% ▲ (+0.02)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 63.87% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 36.13% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 29.4% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 70.6% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 10.21% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 2.5 89.79% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 2.86% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.14% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Bragantino 45.86%
Draw 26.07%
Bahia 28.05%
Bragantino
1-0 @ 10.89% ▼ (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.96% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.74% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.16% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 45.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.23% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.07%
Bahia
0-1 @ 7.83% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 4.38% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 28.05%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Mar 18, 2026 10.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Luciano Juba 17' goal
  • Erick 40' goal
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Ademir 60' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Nestor 60' yellowcard
  • Michel Araújo 80' yellowcard
  • 80' yellowcard
  • M. Sanabria 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Henry Mosquera 46'
  • yellowcard Alix 46'
  • yellowcard 46'
  • yellowcard Eric Ramires 64'
  • yellowcard Davi Gomes de Alvarenga 77'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Sasha 86'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Sosa 86'
  • yellowcard 86'
Brasileiro
Nov 2, 2025 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Jun 12, 2025 11.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Jose Hurtado 11' redcard
  • Jhon Jhon 42' yellowcard
  • Eduardo Sasha 43' yellowcard
  • goal Luciano 40'
  • goal Guilherme Lopes 45'+6' (OG)
  • yellowcard Willian Jose 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Luciano 72'
  • goal Michel Araujo 74'
Brasileiro Gameweek 25
Sep 1, 2024 10.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Nabi Abi Chedid
  • Jadsom 17' goal
  • Jhon Jhon 20' yellowcard
  • Lincoln 29' yellowcard
  • Douglas Mendes 64' goal
  • Gustavo Neves 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Thaciano 28'
  • yellowcard Luciano 33'
  • goal Luciano 72'
  • yellowcard Kanu 77'
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
May 12, 2024 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • 11' goal
  • Kanu 15' yellowcard
  • Thaciano 37' goal
  • Thaciano 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Evangelista 20'
  • yellowcard Jadsom 60'
  • yellowcard Henry Mosquera 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 20
Aug 20, 2023 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Rezende 9' goal
  • Kanu 13' yellowcard
  • Vitor Hugo 38' goal
  • Rezende 55' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Mingotti 60' goal
  • Cauly Oliveira Souza 84' goal
  • yellowcard Aderlan Silva 16'
  • yellowcard Luan Patrick 43'
  • yellowcard Jadsom 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Jose Hurtado 50'
  • yellowcard Matheus Goncalves Martins 73'