Brasileiro Gameweek 28
Corinthians
Sep 20, 2026 8.00pm
Arena Corinthians
Fluminense

Corinthians vs Fluminense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
Sep 13, 2026 9.30pm
Flamengo 2 - 1 Corinthians
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Matheus Bidu

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Sep 12, 2026 8.00pm
Atletico Mineiro 3 - 1 Fluminense
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
John Kennedy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Corinthians win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Fluminense has a probability of 30.72% and a draw has a probability of 28.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Fluminense win is 0-1 (10.21%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.57%).

Result

Corinthians 40.46% ▼ (-0.14)
Draw 28.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Fluminense 30.72% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.52% ▼ (-0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.18% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 32.82% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 40.67% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 59.33% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 20.18% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 79.82% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 10.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 89.98% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Corinthians 33.08% ▼ (-0.22)
Draw 48.69% ▲ (+0.05)
Fluminense 18.23% ▲ (+0.18)

Team To Score First

Corinthians 59.34% ▼ (-0.07)
No Goal 10.05% ▲ (+0.06)
Fluminense 30.61% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 49.52% ▲ (+0.18)
Equal 8 12.32% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 8 38.17% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 9 37.77% ▲ (+0.11)
Equal 9 11.75% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 9 50.48% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 10.5 27.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 10.5 72.51% ▼ (-0.04)

Corinthians Goals

Over 1.5 34.68% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 65.32% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 12.43% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 87.57% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 3.5 3.58% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.42% ▲ (+0.05)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 63.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 36.83% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 27.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 72.52% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 9.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 90.85% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.56% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Corinthians 40.46%
Draw 28.82%
Fluminense 30.72%
Corinthians
1-0 @ 12.56%
2-1 @ 8.61% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 7.67% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.05% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 40.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.57% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 10.05% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 28.82%
Fluminense
0-1 @ 10.21% ▲ (+0.04)
1-2 @ 6.9%
0-2 @ 5.27% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 30.72%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 9
Fluminense
Apr 2, 2026 1.30am
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
Corinthians
  • John Kennedy 20' goal
  • Hércules 45'+3' goal
  • Ganso 69' yellowcard
  • Yeferson Soteldo 70' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Castillo 77' yellowcard
  • Alisson 77' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Castillo 83' goal
  • Germán Cano  86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesse Lingard 46'
  • yellowcard Matheus Pereira 46'
  • yellowcard Fabrizio Angileri 46'
  • yellowcard Zakaria Labyad 76'
  • yellowcard Dieguinho 77'
  • goal André Luiz Santos Dias 89'
Brasileiro
Fluminense
Sep 14, 2025 1.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Corinthians
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Corinthians
Apr 16, 2025 11.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Corinthians
Fluminense
  • Matheuzinho 61' yellowcard
  • Matheuzinho 61' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 81' yellowcard
  • Jose Andres Martinez 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Agustin Canobbio 17'
  • yellowcard Agustin Canobbio 17'
  • goal Rene 63'
  • goal Rene 63'
  • goal Jhon Arias 82'
  • goal Jhon Arias 82'
  • yellowcard Nonato 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Nonato 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 23
Fluminense
Aug 18, 2024 1.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Corinthians
  • Andre 45' yellowcard
  • Andre 45' yellowcard
  • Samuel Xavier 89' yellowcard
  • Samuel Xavier 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charles 15'
  • yellowcard Charles 15'
  • goal Charles 62'
  • yellowcard Ramon Diaz 63'
  • yellowcard Ramon Diaz 63'
  • yellowcard Samuel Xavier 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Samuel Xavier 90'+3'
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Corinthians
Apr 28, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Corinthians
Fluminense
  • Marquinhos 36' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Garro 39' yellowcard
  • Wesley Gassova 40' goal
  • Gustavo Silva 42' yellowcard
  • Breno Bidon 44' yellowcard
  • Wesley Gassova 45'+2' goal
  • Caca 47' goal
  • yellowcard Guga 30'
  • yellowcard Wesley Gassova 36'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Fluminense
Oct 20, 2023 1.30am
3
3
HT : 2 6
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Corinthians
  • Vinicius Lima 22' goal
  • Vinicius Lima 22' goal
  • Marcelo 29' yellowcard
  • Marcelo 29' yellowcard
  • Felipe Melo 33' yellowcard
  • Felipe Melo 33' yellowcard
  • German Cano 48' yellowcard
  • German Cano 48' yellowcard
  • Vinicius Lima 56' goal
  • Vinicius Lima 56' goal
  • Thiago 64' yellowcard
  • Thiago 64' yellowcard
  • Thiago 65' redcard
  • Thiago 65' redcard
  • Vinicius Lima 71' yellowcard
  • Felipe Melo 71' redcard
  • Vinicius Lima 71' yellowcard
  • Felipe Melo 71' redcard
  • Jhon Arias 84' goal
  • Jhon Arias 84' goal
  • Fernando Diniz 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Fernando Diniz 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Yuri Alberto 10'
  • goal Yuri Alberto 10'
  • yellowcard Maycon 19'
  • yellowcard Maycon 19'
  • goal Yuri Alberto 27'
  • goal Yuri Alberto 27'
  • goal Fabio Santos 32'
  • goal Fabio Santos 32'
  • yellowcard Pedrinho 36'
  • yellowcard Pedrinho 36'
  • yellowcard Yuri Alberto 41'
  • yellowcard Yuri Alberto 41'

Form Data

Corinthians 0 - 1 Estudiantes
Flamengo 2 - 1 Corinthians
Estudiantes 1 - 1 Corinthians
Corinthians 1 - 2 Chapecoense
Corinthians 0 - 1 Santos
Coritiba 2 - 1 Corinthians
Platense 0 - 0 Fluminense
Atletico Mineiro 3 - 1 Fluminense
Fluminense 2 - 0 Platense
Fluminense 1 - 0 Vasco
Athletico PR 3 - 3 Fluminense
Fluminense 2 - 1 Remo