Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Oct 26, 2026 11.00pm
Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho

Flamengo vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 10.30pm
Bahia 0 - 3 Flamengo
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Pedro

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 10.30pm
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 0 Coritiba
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Tomás Cuello

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Flamengo win with a probability of 73.09%. A draw has a probability of 18.58% and a win for Atletico Mineiro has a probability of 8.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (15.28%) and 3-0 (10.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.38%) , while for a Atletico Mineiro win it is 0-1 (3.83%).

Result

Flamengo 73.09% ▲ (+0.16)
Draw 18.58% ▼ (-0.10)
Atletico Mineiro 8.32% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

39.31% ▼ (-0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.88% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 27.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 48.33%
Under 2.5 51.67%
Over 3.5 26.3% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 3.5 73.7% ▲ (+0.13)
Over 4.5 17.38% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 4.5 82.62% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Flamengo 56.23% ▲ (+0.37)
Draw 33.95% ▼ (-0.27)
Atletico Mineiro 9.81% ▼ (-0.12)

Team To Score First

Flamengo 75.19% ▲ (+0.40)
No Goal 7.44%
Atletico Mineiro 17.37% ▼ (-0.40)

Corners

Over 8 62.34% ▼ (-0.23)
Equal 8 10.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 26.83% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 9 50.9% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.44% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 37.66% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 10.5 39.82% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 10.5 60.18% ▲ (+0.18)

Flamengo Goals

Over 1.5 60.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 39.51% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 32.7% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 67.3% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 14.11% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 85.89% ▼ (-0.04)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 37.31% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 0.5 62.69% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 1.5 9.6% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 1.5 90.4% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 2.5 1.45% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 98.55% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 0.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.77% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Flamengo 73.08%
Draw 18.59%
Atletico Mineiro 8.31%
Flamengo
1-0 @ 15.83%
2-0 @ 15.28% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 10.02% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.51% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 5.99% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 14.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 73.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.38% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.44%
2-2 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 18.59%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 8.31%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Apr 27, 2026 12.30am
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Arena MRV
  • Tomás Pérez 46' yellowcard
  • Alan Minda 46' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Scarpa 74' yellowcard
  • Dudu 74' yellowcard
  • goal Pedro 8'
  • goal Gonzalo Plata 31'
  • goal Giorgian de Arrascaeta 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Luiz Araújo 73'
  • yellowcard Saúl Ñíguez  73'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique  82'
  • yellowcard Ayrton Lucas 82'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique  83'
  • goal Pedro 84'
  • goal Pedro 84'
  • yellowcard Vitão 86'
Brasileiro
Nov 26, 2025 12.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bernard 34' goal
  • Natanael 54' yellowcard
  • Everson 68' yellowcard
  • Bernard 78' yellowcard
  • Rony 90'+4' redcard
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 74'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique 86'
  • goal Bruno Henrique 90'+2'
Copa do Brasil
Aug 6, 2025 11.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
ET
Copa do Brasil
Aug 1, 2025 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 17
Jul 28, 2025 12.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Nov 13, 2024 11.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Fabricio Bruno 12' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustavo Scarpa 52'