Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 9, 2026 12.00am
Arena de Baixada

Athletico Paranaense vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 11.30pm
Athletico PR 2 - 1 Bahia
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Kevin Viveros

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Oct 3, 2026 10.30pm
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 0 Bragantino
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Tomás Cuello

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 54.76%. A draw has a probability of 26.33% and a win for Atletico Mineiro has a probability of 18.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Athletico Paranaense win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.45%) , while for a Atletico Mineiro win it is 0-1 (7.2%).

Result

Athletico Paranaense 54.76%
Draw 26.33%
Atletico Mineiro 18.92%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.8%

Goals

Over 1.5 69.65%
Under 1.5 30.35%
Over 2.5 43.44%
Under 2.5 56.56%
Over 3.5 22.01%
Under 3.5 77.99%
Over 4.5 11.96%
Under 4.5 88.04%

First Half Winner

Athletico Paranaense 39.2%
Draw 45.78%
Atletico Mineiro 15.03%

Team To Score First

Athletico Paranaense 61.76%
No Goal 9.02%
Atletico Mineiro 29.22%

Corners

Over 8 62.64%
Equal 8 11.01%
Under 8 26.36%
Over 9 50.97%
Equal 9 11.66%
Under 9 37.36%
Over 10.5 39.66%
Under 10.5 60.34%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 1.5 46.48%
Under 1.5 53.52%
Over 2.5 20.26%
Under 2.5 79.74%
Over 3.5 7.26%
Under 3.5 92.74%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 53.18%
Under 0.5 46.82%
Over 1.5 18.75%
Under 1.5 81.25%
Over 2.5 4.73%
Under 2.5 95.27%
Over 3.5 0.97%
Under 3.5 99.03%

Score analysis

Athletico Paranaense 54.76%
Draw 26.34%
Atletico Mineiro 18.92%
Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 14.15%
2-0 @ 10.95%
2-1 @ 10.15%
3-0 @ 5.55%
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-2 @ 2.16%
Other @ 7.17%
Total : 54.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 9.02%
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 26.34%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 7.2%
1-2 @ 4.95%
0-2 @ 2.79%
1-3 @ 1.31%
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 18.92%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Apr 5, 2026 9.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Victor Hugo 6' goal
  • Dudu 69' yellowcard
  • Bernard 70' yellowcard
  • Mamady Cissé  70' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Scarpa 77' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Scarpa 80' goal
  • Mateo Cassierra 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard João Cruz 46'
  • yellowcard Julimar 46'
  • yellowcard Juan Portilla 46'
  • yellowcard Leozinho 75'
  • yellowcard Leozinho 76'
  • goal Julimar 88'
  • yellowcard Bruninho 88'
  • yellowcard Bruninho 90'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 8, 2024 7.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Rubens 73' goal
  • Brahian Palacios 79' yellowcard
  • Everson 90' yellowcard
  • Igor Gomes 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Agustin Canobbio 24'
  • yellowcard Fernandinho 55'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 66'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Nov 16, 2024 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Pablo 18' yellowcard
  • Tomas Cuello 28' goal
  • Nikao 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gustavo Scarpa 27'
  • yellowcard Lyanco 71'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Sep 2, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Fernandinho 27' yellowcard
  • Vitor Roque 29' yellowcard
  • Vitor Roque 78' goal
  • Fernandinho 82' redcard
  • goal Paulinho 6'
  • yellowcard Everson 59'
  • yellowcard Hulk 74'
  • yellowcard Jemerson 90'+5'
Copa Libertadores
May 23, 2023 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto
  • Paulinho 68' goal
  • Paulinho 87' goal
  • goal Alex Santana 51'
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 30, 2023 1.00am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Raimundo Sampaio
  • Hulk 10' goal
  • Hulk 84' goal
  • goal Vitor Roque 90'+2'