Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Oct 11, 2026 8.00pm
Arena MRV

Atletico Mineiro vs Santos - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2026 12.00am
Athletico PR 2 - 2 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Tomás Cuello

Santos

All competitions
Last game
Oct 8, 2026 11.30pm
Santos 2 - 2 Flamengo
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Gabriel Barbosa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 50.47%. A draw has a probability of 26.42% and a win for Santos has a probability of 23.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.29%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.21%) , while for a Santos win it is 0-1 (7.14%).

Result

Atletico Mineiro 50.47%
Draw 26.42%
Santos 23.11%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.4% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.4% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 1.5 27.6% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 48.19% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 2.5 51.81% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 3.5 25.32% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 74.68% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 13.99% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 4.5 86.01% ▼ (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Atletico Mineiro 40.24% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 41.11% ▼ (-0.04)
Santos 18.64% ▲ (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Atletico Mineiro 59.17% ▼ (-0.08)
No Goal 7.94% ▼ (-0.05)
Santos 32.89% ▲ (+0.11)

Corners

Over 8 67.96% ▲ (+0.21)
Equal 8 10.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 21.9% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 9 56.74% ▲ (+0.21)
Equal 9 11.22% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 32.04% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 10.5 45.37% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 10.5 54.63% ▼ (-0.17)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 1.5 45.81% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 54.19% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 20.21% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 79.79% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 7.27% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.73% ▼ (-0.04)

Santos Goals

Over 0.5 58.8% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 41.2% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 24.66% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 1.5 75.34% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 2.5 7.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 92.28% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 1.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.13% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Atletico Mineiro 50.46%
Draw 26.42%
Santos 23.1%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 12.5% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 10.29% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.95% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 50.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.21%
0-0 @ 7.94% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.42%
Santos
0-1 @ 7.14% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.27%
1-3 @ 1.84%
2-3 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 23.1%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Sep 16, 2026 11.00pm
4
2
ET Arena MRV
  • Bernard 1' goal
  • Reinier 20' goal
  • Reinier 41' goal
  • Tomás Cuello 90'+2' goal
  • goal Lyanco 28' (OG)
  • yellowcard Rodinei 38'
  • yellowcard Luan Peres 45'+4'
  • goal Gabriel Barbosa 72'
Copa Sudamericana
Sep 9, 2026 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira
  • Willian Arão 31' goal
  • Christian Oliva 68' goal
Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Apr 12, 2026 12.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Urbano Caldeira
  • Moisés 56' yellowcard
  • Christian Oliva 56' yellowcard
  • Moisés 63' goal
  • Lautaro Díaz 85' yellowcard
  • Thaciano 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bernard 71'
  • yellowcard Cauã Soares 71'
  • yellowcard Dudu 80'
  • yellowcard Alexsander  86'
  • yellowcard Mateo Cassierra 86'
Brasileiro
Sep 14, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 4
Apr 17, 2025 1.30am
2
0
HT : 4 0
FT Estadio Urbano Caldeira
  • Ze Ivaldo 24' goal
  • Ze Ivaldo 24' goal
  • Alvaro Barreal 27' goal
  • Alvaro Barreal 27' goal
  • Gil 61' yellowcard
  • Gil 61' yellowcard
  • Ze Ivaldo 62' yellowcard
  • Ze Ivaldo 62' yellowcard
  • Tiquinho 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Tiquinho 90'+8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caio Paulista 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Caio Paulista 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Hulk 77'
  • yellowcard Hulk 77'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cuello 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cuello 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 27, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Paulinho 12' goal
  • Otavio 38' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Battaglia 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 67' goal
  • Mariano 72' yellowcard
  • Mauricio Lemos 90'+7' yellowcard
  • Hulk 90'+9' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Douglas Moreira 86'
  • yellowcard Lucas Braga 90'+2'