Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Oct 18, 2026 10.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Cristian Olivera 41' yellowcard
  • Jean Lucas 51' yellowcard
  • Marco Moreno 86' yellowcard
  • Román Gómez 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erick Pulgar 3'
  • yellowcard Léo Pereira 48'
  • goal Jorginho 64'
  • goal Gonzalo Plata 73'
  • goal Lucas Paquetá 78'

Bahia vs Flamengo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 11.30pm
Bahia 1 - 0 Mirassol
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Luciano Juba

Flamengo

All competitions
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 9.30pm
Flamengo 1 - 0 Fluminense
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Pedro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bahia win with a probability of 36.4%. A win for Flamengo has a probability of 34.69% and a draw has a probability of 28.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Flamengo win is 0-1 (9.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.42%).

Result

Bahia 36.4% ▼ (-0.93)
Draw 28.91% ▼ (-0.04)
Flamengo 34.69% ▲ (+0.92)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.5% ▼ (-0.39)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.93% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 1.5 28.07% ▲ (+0.72)
Over 2.5 46.84% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 2.5 53.13% ▲ (+0.73)
Over 3.5 24.15% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 3.5 75.85% ▲ (+0.98)
Over 4.5 12.51% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 4.5 87.49% ▲ (+0.68)

First Half Winner

Bahia 32.04% ▲ (+2.01)
Draw 41.5% ▼ (-1.72)
Flamengo 26.46% ▼ (-0.29)

Team To Score First

Bahia 48.76% ▼ (-1.34)
No Goal 8.53% ▲ (+0.31)
Flamengo 42.71% ▲ (+1.03)

Corners

Over 8 60.59% ▼ (-3.02)
Equal 8 11.06% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 8 28.35% ▲ (+2.88)
Over 9 49.08% ▼ (-2.89)
Equal 9 11.51% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 9 39.41% ▲ (+3.02)
Over 10.5 38.08% ▼ (-2.49)
Under 10.5 61.92% ▲ (+2.49)

Bahia Goals

Over 1.5 35.47% ▼ (-1.35)
Under 1.5 64.53% ▲ (+1.35)
Over 2.5 13.07% ▼ (-0.75)
Under 2.5 86.93% ▲ (+0.75)
Over 3.5 3.92% ▼ (-0.39)
Under 3.5 96.08% ▲ (+0.40)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 68.94% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 0.5 31.06% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 34.13% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 65.87% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 12.67% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 87.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 3.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.37% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Bahia 36.39%
Draw 28.92%
Flamengo 34.7%
Bahia
1-0 @ 9.96% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.76% ▼ (-0.15)
2-0 @ 6% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.36)
Total : 36.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.42% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.31)
2-2 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.22)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 0.28% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 28.92%
Flamengo
0-1 @ 9.59% ▲ (+0.41)
1-2 @ 8.17% ▲ (+0.21)
0-2 @ 5.67% ▲ (+0.17)
1-3 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.08)
0-3 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.14)
2-3 @ 2.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 34.7%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Apr 19, 2026 11.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho
  • Giorgian de Arrascaeta 17' goal
  • Bruno Henrique  66' yellowcard
  • Nicolás de la Cruz 79' yellowcard
  • Saúl Ñíguez  79' yellowcard
  • Lucas Paquetá 80' goal
  • Luiz Araújo 85' yellowcard
  • Everton 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Everaldo 46'
  • yellowcard Caio Alexandre 46'
  • yellowcard Michel Araújo 74'
  • yellowcard Ademir 74'
  • yellowcard Mateo Sanabria 85'
Brasileiro
Oct 5, 2025 10.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
May 11, 2025 1.00am
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 8' goal
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 8' goal
  • Gerson 87' redcard
  • Gerson 87' redcard
  • yellowcard Santiago Ramos Mingo 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Santiago Ramos Mingo 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 5, 2024 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Everaldo Stum 59' yellowcard
  • Cicinho 69' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 72' yellowcard
  • Kanu 87' yellowcard
  • Ademir 90'+8' yellowcard
  • Santiago Arias 90'+10' redcard
  • goal Ayrton Lucas 34'
  • yellowcard Giorgian De Arrascaeta 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Bruno Henrique 66'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Pereira 72'
  • yellowcard Allan Rodrigues de Souza 89'
  • goal Carlos Alcaraz 90'+11'
Copa do Brasil
Sep 13, 2024 1.45am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 54' goal
  • Giorgian De Arrascaeta 54' goal
  • Bruno Henrique 88' yellowcard
  • Bruno Henrique 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriel Xavier 66'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Xavier 66'
  • yellowcard Iago 87'
  • yellowcard Iago 87'
  • yellowcard Carlos de Pena 88'
Copa do Brasil
Aug 29, 2024 1.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • goal Bruno Henrique 50'
  • goal Bruno Henrique 50'
  • yellowcard Evertton Gustavo Fernandes Araujo 86'
  • yellowcard Santiago Arias 86'