Brasileiro Gameweek 29
Oct 9, 2026 1.30am
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 3.00pm
Gremio 0 - 0 Palmeiras
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Sep 20, 2026 11.30pm
Athletico PR 2 - 1 Bahia
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Luciano Juba

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palmeiras win with a probability of 59.12%. A draw has a probability of 23.28% and a win for Bahia has a probability of 17.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.85%) and 2-0 (10.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.99%) , while for a Bahia win it is 0-1 (5.51%).

Result

Palmeiras 59.12%
Draw 23.28%
Bahia 17.57%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.16%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.95%
Under 1.5 24.05%
Over 2.5 51.95%
Under 2.5 48.05%
Over 3.5 28.56%
Under 3.5 71.4%
Over 4.5 17.06%
Under 4.5 82.94%

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 46.51%
Draw 37.81%
Bahia 15.68%

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 63.39%
No Goal 6.47%
Bahia 30.14%

Corners

Over 8 71.1%
Equal 8 9.25%
Under 8 19.64%
Over 9 60.61%
Equal 9 10.49%
Under 9 28.9%
Over 10.5 49.68%
Under 10.5 50.32%

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 54.27%
Under 1.5 45.73%
Over 2.5 26.71%
Under 2.5 73.29%
Over 3.5 10.95%
Under 3.5 89.05%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 53.4%
Under 0.5 46.6%
Over 1.5 20.57%
Under 1.5 79.43%
Over 2.5 5.87%
Under 2.5 94.13%
Over 3.5 1.33%
Under 3.5 98.67%

Score analysis

Palmeiras 59.13%
Draw 23.28%
Bahia 17.57%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 12.05%
2-1 @ 10.85%
2-0 @ 10.62%
3-0 @ 6.68%
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-2 @ 2.69%
Other @ 10.76%
Total : 59.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99%
0-0 @ 6.47%
2-2 @ 4.72%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.28%
Bahia
0-1 @ 5.51%
1-2 @ 4.9%
0-2 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 1.37%
1-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 17.57%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 10
Apr 5, 2026 11.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • David Duarte 58' goal
  • Ademir 69' yellowcard
  • Erick 69' yellowcard
  • Willian José  69' yellowcard
  • Michel Araújo 74' yellowcard
  • Dell 86' yellowcard
  • goal Jhon Arias 42'
  • yellowcard Lucas Evangelista 60'
  • yellowcard Luighi 60'
  • yellowcard Ramón Sosa 60'
  • yellowcard Felipe Anderson 64'
  • yellowcard Khellven 81'
  • goal Santiago Ramos Mingo 88' (OG)
  • goal Santiago Ramos Mingo 89' (OG)
Brasileiro
Sep 28, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 6
Apr 27, 2025 10.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Jose Manuel Lopez 54' yellowcard
  • goal Kayky 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Luciano Rodriguez 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Cauly Oliveira Souza 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 34
Nov 20, 2024 9.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Luciano Rodriguez 27' goal
  • Gilberto 75' yellowcard
  • goal Raphael Veiga 41'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rocha 71'
  • goal Jose Manuel Lopez 89'
Brasileiro Gameweek 15
Jul 7, 2024 10.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • 40' goal
  • Estevao Willian 45'+3' goal
  • Rony 61' goal
  • Rony 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kanu 19'
Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Oct 28, 2023 11.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Raphael Veiga 38' goal
  • Fabinho 50' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nicolas Acevedo 9'
  • yellowcard Kanu 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Everaldo Stum 77'
  • redcard Nicolas Acevedo 90'