Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Oct 11, 2026 11.30pm
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia vs Mirassol - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2026 1.30am
Palmeiras 1 - 0 Bahia
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Luciano Juba

Mirassol

All competitions
Last game
Oct 7, 2026 11.30pm
Bragantino 1 - 1 Mirassol
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Igor Formiga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bahia win with a probability of 60.47%. A draw has a probability of 23.89% and a win for Mirassol has a probability of 15.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.26%) and 2-1 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.63%) , while for a Mirassol win it is 0-1 (5.79%).

Result

Bahia 60.47% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 23.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Mirassol 15.64% ▲ (+0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.22% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 28.01% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 48.15% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 51.85% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 26.04% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 73.96% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 15.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 84.44% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Bahia 48.12% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 37.46% ▲ (+0.06)
Mirassol 14.42% ▼ (-0.05)

Team To Score First

Bahia 65.95% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 8.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Mirassol 25.81%

Corners

Over 8 70.18% ▼ (-0.24)
Equal 8 9.9% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 8 19.91% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 9 58.98% ▼ (-0.25)
Equal 9 11.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 29.82% ▲ (+0.25)
Over 10.5 47.43% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 10.5 52.57% ▲ (+0.23)

Bahia Goals

Over 1.5 52.49% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 47.51% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 25.81% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 74.19% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 10.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 89.63% ▲ (+0.01)

Mirassol Goals

Over 0.5 49.61% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 50.39% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 17.49% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 82.51% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 4.41%
Under 2.5 95.59%
Over 3.5 0.89%
Under 3.5 99.11%

Score analysis

Bahia 60.46%
Draw 23.88%
Mirassol 15.63%
Bahia
1-0 @ 13.95%
2-0 @ 11.26% ▼ (-0.05)
2-1 @ 10.35%
3-0 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 10.26% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 60.46%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.24% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.88%
Mirassol
0-1 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.37% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.97% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 15.63%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Apr 11, 2026 10.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
  • David Duarte 14' goal
  • Victor Luís 41' yellowcard
  • Nathan Fogaça 46' yellowcard
  • Shaylon 60' yellowcard
  • Alesson 60' yellowcard
  • 60' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Pires 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gilberto 46'
  • yellowcard Ademir 60'
  • yellowcard Willian José  60'
  • yellowcard 60'
  • yellowcard Luciano Juba 65'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Nestor 80'
  • goal Mateo Sanabria 89'
Brasileiro
Aug 31, 2025 10.30pm
5
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 13, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Erick da Costa Farias 40' goal
  • Caio Alexandre 67' yellowcard
  • Gilberto 74' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel 17'
  • yellowcard Clayson 42'
  • yellowcard Joao Victor Carroll Santana 45'+5'
  • yellowcard Roni 65'
  • goal Iury Castilho 71'
  • yellowcard Iury Castilho 71'
  • yellowcard Reinaldo 90'+5'