Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Vasco
Oct 24, 2026 10.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Corinthians
  • José Luis Rodríguez 35' goal
  • Marino Hinestroza 88' goal
  • Marino Hinestroza 90' goal
  • Marino Hinestroza 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Garro 31'
  • goal Gustavo Henrique 50'
  • goal Matheus Bidu 57'
  • yellowcard Fabrizio Angileri 85'
  • yellowcard Jesse Lingard 90'+6'

Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 1.00am
Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Vasco
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Andrés Gómez

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2026 12.00am
Corinthians 1 - 1 Vitoria
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Matheus Bidu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 52.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.37% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 22.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.22%) and 2-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%) , while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result

Vasco da Gama 52.69% ▼ (-2.00)
Draw 24.37% ▲ (+0.34)
Corinthians 22.94% ▲ (+1.68)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.49% ▲ (+0.24)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.91% ▼ (-0.65)
Under 1.5 27.09% ▲ (+0.65)
Over 2.5 47.66% ▼ (-0.99)
Under 2.5 52.34% ▲ (+0.99)
Over 3.5 25.71% ▼ (-0.92)
Under 3.5 74.29% ▲ (+0.92)
Over 4.5 14.42% ▼ (-0.70)
Under 4.5 85.58% ▲ (+0.71)

First Half Winner

Vasco da Gama 40.96% ▼ (-5.25)
Draw 43.12% ▲ (+3.35)
Corinthians 15.92% ▲ (+1.90)

Team To Score First

Vasco da Gama 63.08% ▼ (-3.72)
No Goal 7.22% ▲ (+0.23)
Corinthians 29.7% ▲ (+3.49)

Corners

Over 8 56.25% ▼ (-3.50)
Equal 8 11.13% ▲ (+0.21)
Under 8 32.62% ▲ (+3.30)
Over 9 45.06% ▼ (-3.40)
Equal 9 11.19% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 9 43.75% ▲ (+3.50)
Over 10.5 34.68% ▼ (-3.04)
Under 10.5 65.32% ▲ (+3.03)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 1.5 46.9% ▼ (-1.97)
Under 1.5 53.1% ▲ (+1.97)
Over 2.5 21.02% ▼ (-1.66)
Under 2.5 78.98% ▲ (+1.67)
Over 3.5 7.72% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 3.5 92.28% ▲ (+0.60)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 58.01% ▲ (+0.98)
Under 0.5 41.99% ▼ (-0.98)
Over 1.5 23.39% ▲ (+0.88)
Under 1.5 76.61% ▼ (-0.88)
Over 2.5 6.98% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 2.5 93.02% ▼ (-0.41)
Over 3.5 1.76% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 3.5 98.24% ▼ (-0.15)

Score analysis

Vasco da Gama 52.68%
Draw 24.37%
Corinthians 22.93%
Vasco da Gama
1-0 @ 12.46% ▼ (-0.07)
2-1 @ 10.22% ▼ (-0.23)
2-0 @ 9.65% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.31)
3-0 @ 4.93% ▼ (-0.42)
3-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 7.71% ▼ (-0.61)
Total : 52.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.03% ▲ (+0.20)
0-0 @ 7.22% ▲ (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 24.37%
Corinthians
0-1 @ 7.39% ▲ (+0.44)
1-2 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.38)
0-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.34)
1-3 @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.10)
2-3 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.10)
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.14)
Total : 22.93%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Corinthians
Apr 26, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Corinthians
Vasco
  • Matheus Bidu 38' goal
  • Jesse Lingard 63' yellowcard
  • André Carrillo 77' yellowcard
  • Matheus Pereira 89' yellowcard
  • Fabrizio Angileri 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Piton 46'
  • yellowcard Johan Rojas 46'
  • yellowcard Adson 63'
  • yellowcard Claudio Spinelli 68'
  • yellowcard Nuno Moreira 78'
Copa do Brasil
Vasco
Dec 21, 2025 9.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Corinthians
  • Nuno Moreira 41' goal
  • Carlos Cuesta 47' yellowcard
  • Thiago Mendes 60' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 86' yellowcard
  • Pablo Vegetti 87' yellowcard
  • goal Yuri Alberto 18'
  • yellowcard Dorival Junior 54'
  • yellowcard Yuri Alberto 60'
  • goal Memphis Depay 63'
  • yellowcard Andre Carrillo 81'
  • yellowcard Matheuzinho 85'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro de Sousa Rodrigues 90'+4'
Copa do Brasil
Corinthians
Dec 18, 2025 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Vasco
  • Raniele 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Raniele 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Vitinho 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robert Renan 8'
  • yellowcard Oliveira 8'
  • yellowcard 45'+3'
Brasileiro
Vasco
Aug 24, 2025 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Corinthians
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Corinthians
Apr 5, 2025 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Corinthians
Vasco
  • Raniele 11' yellowcard
  • Yuri Alberto 12' goal
  • Memphis Depay 27' goal
  • Jose Andres Martinez 48' yellowcard
  • Matheuzinho 66' yellowcard
  • Joao Victor 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Jair 5'
  • yellowcard Joao Victor 49'
Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Corinthians
Nov 24, 2024 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Arena Corinthians
Vasco
  • Gustavo Henrique 11' goal
  • Rodrigo Garro 15' goal
  • Rodrigo Garro 25' goal
  • Andre Ramalho 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pablo Galdames 51'
  • yellowcard Jair 67'
  • goal Jose Luis Rodriguez 77'
  • yellowcard Jose Luis Rodriguez 84'
  • yellowcard Hugo Moura 85'

Form Data

Vasco 1 - 3 Boca Juniors
Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Vasco
Boca Juniors 0 - 1 Vasco
Vasco 0 - 0 Remo
Botafogo 1 - 2 Vasco
Vasco 5 - 0 Coritiba
Corinthians 1 - 1 Vitoria
Palmeiras 4 - 1 Corinthians
Internacional 2 - 1 Corinthians
Corinthians 1 - 3 Fluminense
Corinthians 0 - 1 Estudiantes
Flamengo 2 - 1 Corinthians