Brasileiro Gameweek 30
Oct 11, 2026 9.30pm
Allianz Parque

Palmeiras vs Corinthians - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Palmeiras

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2026 1.30am
Palmeiras 1 - 0 Bahia
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Jose Manuel Lopez

Corinthians

All competitions
Last game
Oct 7, 2026 11.30pm
Internacional 2 - 1 Corinthians
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
André Luiz Santos Dias

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Palmeiras win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw has a probability of 23.23% and a win for Corinthians has a probability of 15.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.07%) and 2-1 (10.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.95%) , while for a Corinthians win it is 0-1 (5.57%).

Result

Palmeiras 61.67% ▲ (+0.18)
Draw 23.23% ▲ (+0.06)
Corinthians 15.11% ▼ (-0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.53% ▲ (+0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.98% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 27.02% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 2.5 47.83% ▲ (+0.61)
Under 2.5 52.17% ▼ (-0.61)
Over 3.5 25.57% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 3.5 74.43% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 4.5 15.08% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 4.5 84.92% ▼ (-0.30)

First Half Winner

Palmeiras 48.82% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 38.48% ▲ (+0.04)
Corinthians 12.7% ▼ (-0.14)

Team To Score First

Palmeiras 67.52% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 7.55% ▼ (-0.12)
Corinthians 24.93% ▲ (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 63.02% ▼ (-2.17)
Equal 8 9.99% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 8 26.99% ▲ (+2.43)
Over 9 52.44% ▼ (-1.70)
Equal 9 10.59% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 9 36.98% ▲ (+2.16)
Over 10.5 42.06% ▼ (-1.11)
Under 10.5 57.94% ▲ (+1.11)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 1.5 53.4% ▲ (+0.38)
Under 1.5 46.6% ▼ (-0.38)
Over 2.5 26.05% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 2.5 73.95% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 3.5 10.37% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 3.5 89.63% ▼ (-0.27)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5 49.16% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 50.84% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 16.7% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 83.3% ▼ (-0.22)
Over 2.5 4.08% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 2.5 95.92% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 3.5 0.85% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 99.15% ▼ (-0.08)

Score analysis

Palmeiras 61.65%
Draw 23.23%
Corinthians 15.1%
Palmeiras
1-0 @ 13.88% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 12.07% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 10.43% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 7.08% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 10.24% ▲ (+0.17)
Total : 61.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.95% ▼ (-0.11)
0-0 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 0.13% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 23.23%
Corinthians
0-1 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.21)
1-2 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.15)
1-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 15.1%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 11
Apr 12, 2026 10.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • André Carrillo 73' yellowcard
  • Jesse Lingard 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Felipe Anderson 71'
  • yellowcard Arthur Gabriel 71'
  • yellowcard Luighi 72'
  • yellowcard Lucas Evangelista 83'
Brasileiro
Aug 31, 2025 10.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa do Brasil
Aug 7, 2025 1.30am
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Copa do Brasil
Jul 31, 2025 1.30am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brasileiro Gameweek 3
Apr 12, 2025 10.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Parque
  • Joaquin Piquerez 14' goal
  • Emiliano Martinez 19' goal
  • Richard Rios 22' yellowcard
  • Weverton 27' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Martinez 31' yellowcard
  • Gustavo Gomez 38' yellowcard
  • Bruno Fuchs 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Micael 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andre Ramalho 4'
  • yellowcard Jose Andres Martinez 23'
  • yellowcard Memphis Depay 27'
  • yellowcard Yuri Alberto 27'
  • yellowcard Matheuzinho 67'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Nov 4, 2024 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Arena Corinthians
  • Hugo 37' yellowcard
  • Hugo 37' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Garro 41' goal
  • Rodrigo Garro 41' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 56' goal
  • Yuri Alberto 56' goal
  • Matheuzinho 60' yellowcard
  • Matheuzinho 60' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anibal Moreno 67'
  • yellowcard Anibal Moreno 67'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Menino 81'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Menino 81'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rocha 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Marcos Rocha 90'+1'