Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Vitoria
Oct 24, 2026 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas
Athletico PR
  • Renato Kayzer 29' goal
  • Diego Tarzia 41' yellowcard
  • Marinho 90'+5' redcard
  • Luan Cândido 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wadson 14'
  • goal Jamerson 23' (OG)
  • yellowcard Luiz Gustavo 42'
  • yellowcard Bruno Gonçalves Baldini 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Gilberto 90'+1'

Vitoria vs Athletico Paranaense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria

All competitions
Last game
Oct 20, 2026 12.00am
Corinthians 1 - 1 Vitoria
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Renê

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 11.30pm
Athletico PR 0 - 2 Palmeiras
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Kevin Viveros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result

Vitoria 41.81% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 25.75% ▼ (-0.04)
Athletico Paranaense 32.44% ▼ (-0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.53%

Goals

Over 1.5 78.65% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 21.35% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 56.8% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 43.2% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 34.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 65.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 20.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.94% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Vitoria 29.66% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 46.78% ▲ (+0.11)
Athletico Paranaense 23.56% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Vitoria 54.01% ▼ (-0.03)
No Goal 5.67% ▼ (-0.04)
Athletico Paranaense 40.32% ▲ (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 55.97% ▲ (+0.09)
Equal 8 10.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 8 33.07% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 9 44.95% ▲ (+0.09)
Equal 9 11.02%
Under 9 44.03% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 10.5 34.73% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 10.5 65.27% ▼ (-0.08)

Vitoria Goals

Over 1.5 44.32% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 55.68% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 19.99% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 80.01% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 7.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 92.47% ▼ (-0.02)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 69.14% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 30.86% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 36.87% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 63.13% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 15.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 84.69% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.15% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.85% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Vitoria 41.8%
Draw 25.75%
Athletico Paranaense 32.43%
Vitoria
2-1 @ 9.18% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.7% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.87% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 7.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 41.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.81% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.33% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.32% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.75%
Athletico Paranaense
1-2 @ 7.92% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.41% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.95%
0-3 @ 2.18%
Other @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 32.43%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Vitoria
Aug 7, 2026 12.00am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio Manoel Barradas
Athletico PR
  • Renê 11' goal
  • Caíque Gonçalves 25' yellowcard
  • Erick 45'+4' goal
  • Renê 60' goal
  • Diego Tarzia 74' yellowcard
  • Renê 79' yellowcard
  • Marinho  89' yellowcard
  • Marinho  90'+3' goal
  • Emanuel Brítez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Felipe Aguirre 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Arthur Dias 72'
  • yellowcard Stiven Mendoza 74'
Copa do Brasil
Athletico PR
Aug 4, 2026 1.00am
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena de Baixada
Vitoria
  • João Cruz 9' goal
  • Arthur Dias 26' yellowcard
  • Leozinho 50' yellowcard
  • Dudu 78' goal
  • Dudu 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Martínez 21'
  • yellowcard Jair Ventura 33'
  • yellowcard Cacá 61'
  • redcard Emmanuel Martínez 67'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Athletico PR
Apr 26, 2026 10.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Arena de Baixada
Vitoria
  • 34' yellowcard
  • Kevin Viveros 34' yellowcard
  • Dudu 63' yellowcard
  • Bruno Zapelli 79' yellowcard
  • Chiqueti 80' yellowcard
  • Renan Peixoto 90' yellowcard
  • Kevin Viveros 90'+2' goal
  • Luiz Gustavo 90'+8' goal
  • goal Renê 22'
  • yellowcard Ronald 46'
  • yellowcard Diego Tarzia 74'
  • yellowcard Fabri 74'
  • yellowcard Marinho  79'
  • yellowcard Lucas Silva 90'+4'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Athletico PR
Nov 2, 2024 9.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Arena de Baixada
Vitoria
  • Julimar 31' goal
  • Tomas Cuello 68' yellowcard
  • goal Alerrandro 33'
  • yellowcard Willian Oliveira 52'
  • yellowcard Lucas Willians Assis Arcanjo 55'
  • goal Matheuzinho 65'
  • yellowcard Machado 66'
  • yellowcard Lucas Esteves 68'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Vitoria
Jun 30, 2024 10.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Roberto Santos
Athletico PR
  • Leo Naldi 51' yellowcard
  • Jose Hugo 60' yellowcard
  • Caio Vinicius 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bruno Zapelli 12'
  • goal Julimar 80'
  • yellowcard Pablo 82'
Brasileiro Gameweek 35
Vitoria
Nov 17, 2018 9.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Athletico PR
  • Rhayner 31' yellowcard
  • Jeferson 54' yellowcard
  • Lucas Fernandes 71' yellowcard
  • Jeferson 89' redcard
  • Neilton 92' goal
  • goal Ramon 26' (OG)
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 33'
  • yellowcard Leo Pereira 41'
  • yellowcard Jonathan 57'
  • goal Bruno Guimaraes 86'

Form Data

Corinthians 1 - 1 Vitoria
Sao Paulo 2 - 1 Vitoria
Vitoria 4 - 0 Chapecoense
Vitoria 1 - 3 Cruzeiro
Mirassol 2 - 2 Vitoria
Vitoria 1 - 0 Gremio
Athletico PR 0 - 2 Palmeiras
Chapecoense 1 - 4 Athletico PR
Athletico PR 2 - 2 Atletico Mineiro
Athletico PR 2 - 1 Bahia
Coritiba 3 - 3 Athletico PR
Cruzeiro 3 - 1 Athletico PR