Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Oct 30, 2026 12.30am
Arena do Grêmio

Gremio vs Athletico Paranaense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Oct 26, 2026 10.30pm
Coritiba 0 - 1 Gremio
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 8.30pm
Vitoria 1 - 1 Athletico PR
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Kevin Viveros

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gremio win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Athletico Paranaense has a probability of 35.07% and a draw has a probability of 26.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win is 0-1 (8.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.37%).

Result

Gremio 38.34% ▼ (-0.58)
Draw 26.59% ▼ (-0.06)
Athletico Paranaense 35.07% ▲ (+0.60)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.62% ▼ (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 24.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 52.05% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 2.5 47.95% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 3.5 29.58% ▼ (-0.43)
Under 3.5 70.42% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 4.5 15.78% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 4.5 84.22% ▲ (+0.57)

First Half Winner

Gremio 26.48% ▼ (-2.24)
Draw 44.06% ▲ (+1.61)
Athletico Paranaense 29.46% ▲ (+0.65)

Team To Score First

Gremio 44.33% ▼ (-0.58)
No Goal 6.56% ▼ (-0.08)
Athletico Paranaense 49.11% ▲ (+0.65)

Corners

Over 8 64.18% ▲ (+0.28)
Equal 8 10.79% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 8 25.04% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 9 52.61% ▲ (+0.15)
Equal 9 11.57% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 9 35.82% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 10.5 41.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 10.5 58.74% ▼ (-0.02)

Gremio Goals

Over 1.5 39.56% ▼ (-0.66)
Under 1.5 60.44% ▲ (+0.66)
Over 2.5 15.68% ▼ (-0.61)
Under 2.5 84.32% ▲ (+0.61)
Over 3.5 5.19% ▼ (-0.41)
Under 3.5 94.81% ▲ (+0.41)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 70.05% ▲ (+0.49)
Under 0.5 29.95% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 1.5 36.7% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 1.5 63.3% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 2.5 14.16% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 2.5 85.84% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 3.5 4.31% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 95.69% ▲ (+0.24)

Score analysis

Gremio 38.35%
Draw 26.59%
Athletico Paranaense 35.08%
Gremio
1-0 @ 9.18% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 8.57% ▼ (-0.20)
2-0 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.12)
3-1 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.29)
Total : 38.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37% ▲ (+0.21)
0-0 @ 6.56% ▼ (-0.08)
2-2 @ 6.43% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.11% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 26.59%
Athletico Paranaense
0-1 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.19)
1-2 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.32)
0-2 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.11)
1-3 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.2% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 35.08%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 14
May 3, 2026 12.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Léo Derik 35' yellowcard
  • Dudu 63' yellowcard
  • Diogo Riquelme 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Riquelme 46'
  • yellowcard André Henrique 46'
  • yellowcard Willian 51'
  • yellowcard Tetê 65'
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Aug 4, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Mateo Gamarra 17' yellowcard
  • Tomas Cuello 82' yellowcard
  • goal Gustavo Martins 18'
  • goal Miguel Monsalve 21'
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Apr 17, 2024 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Franco Cristaldo 19' goal
  • Yeferson Soteldo 51' goal
  • Gustavo Nunes 71' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Santana 33'
  • yellowcard Ze Vitor 59'
  • yellowcard Lucas Esquivel 71'
Brasileiro Gameweek 27
Oct 18, 2023 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Lucas Besozzi 7' goal
  • Luis Suarez 44' yellowcard
  • Reinaldo 58' yellowcard
  • Reinaldo 90'+7' redcard
  • yellowcard Agustin Canobbio 25'
  • goal Bruno Zapelli 38'
  • yellowcard Alex Santana 53'
  • yellowcard Thiago Heleno 57'
  • yellowcard Lucas Esquivel 73'
  • yellowcard Tomas Cuello 85'
  • goal Kaique Rocha 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Kaique Rocha 90'+5'
Brasileiro Gameweek 8
May 27, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Vitor Roque 34' goal
  • goal Cuiabano 31'
  • goal Bruno Uvini 49'
Brasileiro Gameweek 22
Sep 26, 2021 10.15pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Pedro Rocha 31' goal
  • Pedro Rocha 45'+1' goal
  • Renato Kayzer 55' goal
  • Renato Kayzer 61' goal
  • Ze Ivaldo 67' yellowcard
  • goal Thiago 59'
  • yellowcard Ruan 65'
  • yellowcard Miguel Borja 66'
  • goal Vanderson 84'
  • yellowcard Douglas Costa 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Rafinha 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Mateus Sarara 90'+4'