Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Oct 26, 2026 10.30pm
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira

Coritiba vs Gremio - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Coritiba

All competitions
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 10.30pm
Atletico Mineiro 1 - 0 Coritiba
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Breno Lopes

Gremio

All competitions
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 8.00pm
Gremio 2 - 4 Cruzeiro
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Carlos Vinicius

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Coritiba win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Gremio has a probability of 31.64% and a draw has a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Gremio win is 0-1 (9.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.22%).

Result

Coritiba 41.07% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 27.3%
Gremio 31.64% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.72%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.77% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 28.23% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 46.29% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 53.71% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 3.5 24.59% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 75.41% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 12.55% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 87.45% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Coritiba 30% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 47.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Gremio 22.41% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Coritiba 52.57%
No Goal 7.9% ▲ (+0.02)
Gremio 39.53% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 58.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 8 11.36%
Under 8 29.87% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 9 47.09% ▼ (-0.03)
Equal 9 11.67%
Under 9 41.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 10.5 36.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 10.5 63.9% ▲ (+0.02)

Coritiba Goals

Over 1.5 38.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 61.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 14.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 85.43% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 4.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.51% ▼ (-0.01)

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5 66.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 33.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 30.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 69.01% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 10.54% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 89.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.75%
Under 3.5 97.25%

Score analysis

Coritiba 41.06%
Draw 27.3%
Gremio 31.64%
Coritiba
1-0 @ 11.14% ▲ (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.06% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.83% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.04% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 41.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 7.9% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 27.3%
Gremio
0-1 @ 9.19% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.66% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 31.64%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Apr 26, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena do Grêmio
  • Gabriel Mec 43' goal
  • Erick Noriega 46' yellowcard
  • Tetê 69' yellowcard
  • Martin Braithwaite 75' yellowcard
  • Juan Nardoni 75' yellowcard
  • Riquelme 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Felipe Jonatan 34'
  • yellowcard Willian Oliveira 59'
  • yellowcard JP Chermont 59'
  • yellowcard Joaquín Lavega 78'
  • yellowcard Tiago Cóser 78'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Nov 1, 2023 11.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Major Antonio Couto Pereira
  • Robson 60' goal
  • Marcelino Moreno 74' yellowcard
  • Islam Slimani 78' yellowcard
  • Islam Slimani 85' redcard
  • yellowcard Fabio Da Silva 11'
  • goal Mathias Villasanti 27'
  • yellowcard Walter Kannemann 78'
  • goal Ferreira 83'
Brasileiro Gameweek 12
Jun 25, 2023 8.00pm
5
1
HT : 1 1
FT Arena do Gremio
  • Franco Cristaldo 34' goal
  • Mathias Villasanti 48' goal
  • Bitello 54' goal
  • Luis Suarez 66' goal
  • Andre Henrique 84' goal
  • goal Alef Manga 41'
Brasileiro Gameweek 33
Jan 31, 2021 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Neilton 53' yellowcard
  • Wilson 73' goal
  • Rafinha 90' yellowcard
  • Jonathan 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Doin 20'
  • yellowcard Darlan Mendes 68'
  • yellowcard Bruno Cortez 69'
  • yellowcard David Braz 72'
Brasileiro Gameweek 14
Oct 7, 2020 11.15pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Luiz Fernando 3' goal
  • David Braz 11' goal
  • Jonathan Doin 26' yellowcard
  • Matheus Henrique 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ramon Martinez 29'
  • goal Nathan Silva 72'
  • yellowcard Neilton 85'