Europa League Gameweek 3
Bournemouth
Oct 22, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Vitality Stadium
AC Milan
  • Justin Kluivert 8' goal
  • Bafodé Diakité 16' yellowcard
  • Tyler Adams 29' yellowcard
  • Marcus Tavernier 32' goal
  • Amine Adli 84' goal
  • redcard Mike Maignan 27'
  • yellowcard Pervis Estupiñán 35'
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 63'
  • yellowcard Koni De Winter 81'

Bournemouth vs AC Milan - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bournemouth

All competitions

AC Milan

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 16, 2026 8.00pm
AC Milan 0 - 2 Benfica

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 36.16%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 28.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-0 (11.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result

Bournemouth 35.14% ▼ (-0.08)
Draw 28.66% ▲ (+0.04)
AC Milan 36.16% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.03% ▼ (-0.16)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.45% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 32.55% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 2.5 41.86% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 58.14% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 3.5 22.02% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 77.98% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 4.5 12.06% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 87.94% ▲ (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Bournemouth 27.33%
Draw 44.15%
AC Milan 28.52%

Team To Score First

Bournemouth 38.81% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 10.39% ▲ (+0.06)
AC Milan 50.8% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 48.59%
Equal 8 12.01%
Under 8 39.4%
Over 9 37.22%
Equal 9 11.37%
Under 9 51.41%
Over 10.5 27.3%
Under 10.5 72.7%

Bournemouth Goals

Over 1.5 31.61% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 1.5 68.39% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 11.26% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 88.74% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 3.72% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 96.28% ▲ (+0.02)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5 66.26% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 0.5 33.74% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 32.11% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 67.89% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 12.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.59% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 3.8%
Under 3.5 96.2%

Score analysis

Bournemouth 35.15%
Draw 28.67%
AC Milan 36.16%
Bournemouth
1-0 @ 11.08% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.54% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.26% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.42% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 35.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93%
0-0 @ 10.39% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 28.67%
AC Milan
0-1 @ 11.06% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.29% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.39% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 36.16%

Form Data

Bournemouth 2 - 0 Sunderland
Bournemouth 3 - 0 Sturm Graz
Chelsea 5 - 1 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 0 - 1 Liverpool
Real Sociedad 1 - 2 Bournemouth
Bournemouth 2 - 2 Brentford
AC Milan 3 - 2 Atalanta
Salzburg 0 - 4 AC Milan
Sassuolo 1 - 1 AC Milan
AC Milan 3 - 0 Lecce
AC Milan 0 - 2 Benfica
Lazio 2 - 2 AC Milan

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