Community Shield
Arsenal
Aug 16, 2026 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Buisson De La Grolle N°3
Man City
  • Riccardo Calafiori 1' goal
  • Kai Havertz 28' goal
  • Riccardo Calafiori 38' yellowcard
  • Martin Ødegaard 48' goal
  • Martin Ødegaard 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Phil Foden 24'
  • yellowcard Josko Gvardiol  53'

Arsenal vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions

Manchester City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Manchester City had a probability of 37.6% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.54%). The likeliest Manchester City win was 1-2 (8.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

Arsenal 38.4% ▼ (-0.21)
Draw 24% ▼ (-0.50)
Manchester City 37.6% ▲ (+0.71)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.4% ▲ (+2.00)

Goals

Over 1.5 81% ▲ (+1.74)
Under 1.5 19% ▼ (-1.74)
Over 2.5 59.1% ▲ (+2.61)
Under 2.5 40.9% ▼ (-2.61)
Over 3.5 36.7% ▲ (+2.61)
Under 3.5 63.3% ▼ (-2.61)
Over 4.5 21.67% ▲ (+2.04)
Under 4.5 78.33% ▼ (-2.04)

Arsenal Goals

Over 1.5 42.8% ▲ (+1.18)
Under 1.5 57.2% ▼ (-1.18)
Over 2.5 19.13% ▲ (+1.06)
Under 2.5 80.87% ▼ (-1.05)
Over 3.5 6.97% ▲ (+0.59)
Under 3.5 93.03% ▼ (-0.60)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 73.01% ▲ (+1.06)
Under 0.5 26.99% ▼ (-1.06)
Over 1.5 42.13% ▲ (+1.93)
Under 1.5 57.87% ▼ (-1.93)
Over 2.5 18.65% ▲ (+1.55)
Under 2.5 81.35% ▼ (-1.56)
Over 3.5 6.73% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 3.5 93.27% ▼ (-0.83)

Score analysis

Arsenal 38.38%
Draw 23.98%
Manchester City 37.59%
Arsenal
2-1 @ 8.45% ▼ (-0.07)
1-0 @ 7.19% ▼ (-0.64)
2-0 @ 5.54% ▼ (-0.31)
3-1 @ 4.34% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.3% ▲ (+0.22)
3-0 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 6.71% ▲ (+0.54)
Total : 38.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98% ▼ (-0.42)
2-2 @ 6.42% ▲ (+0.25)
0-0 @ 4.65% ▼ (-0.59)
3-3 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 0.26% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 23.98%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 8.35% ▲ (+0.07)
0-1 @ 7.11% ▼ (-0.52)
0-2 @ 5.41% ▼ (-0.14)
1-3 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.23)
2-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.26)
0-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 6.47% ▲ (+0.77)
Total : 37.59%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 33
Man City
Apr 19, 2026 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Etihad Stadium
Arsenal
  • Rayan Cherki 16' goal
  • Erling Haaland 65' goal
  • Phil Foden 85' yellowcard
  • 85' yellowcard
  • Savinho 88' yellowcard
  • Nico González 88' yellowcard
  • Nathan Aké 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Kai Havertz 18'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Martinelli 45'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Martinelli 46'
  • yellowcard Leandro Trossard 74'
  • yellowcard Ben White 74'
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyökeres 84'
  • yellowcard 84'
  • yellowcard Viktor Gyökeres 85'
EFL Cup
Arsenal
Mar 22, 2026 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Wembley Stadium
Man City
  • Riccardo Calafiori 65' yellowcard
  • Noni Madueke 66' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Martinelli 82' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Jesus 82' yellowcard
  • goal Nico O'Reilly 60'
  • goal Nico O'Reilly 64'
  • yellowcard Phil Foden 90'
Premier League
Arsenal
Sep 21, 2025 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Man City
Premier League Gameweek 24
Arsenal
Feb 2, 2025 4.30pm
5
1
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Man City
  • Martin Odegaard 2' goal
  • Jurrien Maduro 25' yellowcard
  • Thomas Partey 56' goal
  • Myles Lewis-Skelly 62' goal
  • Martin Odegaard 71' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 76' goal
  • Ethan Nwaneri 90'+3' goal
  • goal Erling Haaland 55'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Man City
Sep 22, 2024 4.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Etihad Stadium
Arsenal
  • Erling Haaland 9' goal
  • Ederson 23' yellowcard
  • Ruben Dias 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Bernardo Silva 90'+1' yellowcard
  • John Stones 90'+8' goal
  • Pep Guardiola 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Riccardo Calafiori 22'
  • yellowcard Leandro Trossard 34'
  • goal Gabriel Magalhaes 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Thomas Partey 45'+7'
  • redcard Leandro Trossard 45'+8'
  • yellowcard Myles Lewis-Skelly 65'
  • yellowcard Declan Rice 83'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Man City
Mar 31, 2024 4.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Arsenal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Jesus 67'
  • yellowcard David Raya 79'

Form Data

Arsenal 1 - 1 Como
Arsenal 1 - 3 Betis
Girona 1 - 4 Arsenal
PSG 1 - 1 Arsenal
Crystal Palace 1 - 2 Arsenal
Arsenal 1 - 0 Burnley
Man City 3 - 1 Atletico
Man City 1 - 1 Inter Milan
Man City 1 - 2 Aston Villa
Bournemouth 1 - 1 Man City
Chelsea 0 - 1 Man City
Man City 3 - 0 Crystal Palace

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