International Friendlies
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Farglog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F21%2F12%2Fburlog_1.png)
-
Lautaro Martínez
4'
-
Moumouni Diallo
8'
-
Gianluca Prestianni
12'
-
Nico Paz
35'
-
Julián Alvarez
36'
-
Franco Mastantuono
57'
-
Giuliano Simeone
90'+3'
-
Moumouni Diallo
3'
Argentina vs Burkina Faso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F10%2Flautaro-martinez-and-nico-paz-celebrate-an-argentina-goal-on-september-30-2026-guilherme-veiga-pximages-6abebe8854daa142347465.jpg)
Predicted Lineups
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F07%2Ficonsport-369817-0327-1-1-6a4d42ab4f51e538501501.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 74.9%. A draw had a probability of 17.98% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 7.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.75%) and 3-0 (11.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%) , while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (3.12%).
Result
Argentina
74.9%
▼
(-0.60)
Draw
17.98%
▲
(+0.42)
Burkina Faso
7.08%
▲
(+0.14)
Both Teams to Score:
36.62%
▲
(+0.23)
Goals
Over 1.5
73.89%
▲
(+0.58)
Under 1.5
26.11%
▼
(-0.59)
Over 2.5
49.52%
▲
(+0.59)
Under 2.5
50.48%
▼
(-0.59)
Over 3.5
27.02%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 3.5
72.98%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 4.5
18.67%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 4.5
81.33%
▲
(+0.15)
First Half Winner
Argentina
55.6%
▲
(+0.97)
Draw
35.3%
▼
(-0.61)
Burkina Faso
9.1%
▼
(-0.37)
Team To Score First
Argentina
72.6%
▼
(-0.25)
No Goal
7.21%
▼
(-0.21)
Burkina Faso
20.19%
▲
(+0.46)
Corners
Over 8
50.79%
▲
(+4.14)
Equal 8
11%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 8
38.21%
▼
(-3.62)
Over 9
40.16%
▲
(+4.24)
Equal 9
10.63%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 9
49.21%
▼
(-4.14)
Over 10.5
30.66%
▲
(+3.99)
Under 10.5
69.34%
▼
(-3.99)
Argentina Goals
Over 1.5
62.38%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 1.5
37.62%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 2.5
34.86%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 2.5
65.14%
▲
(+0.46)
Over 3.5
15.79%
▼
(-0.45)
Under 3.5
84.21%
▲
(+0.44)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5
34.21%
▲
(+0.85)
Under 0.5
65.79%
▼
(-0.84)
Over 1.5
8.89%
▲
(+0.90)
Under 1.5
91.11%
▼
(-0.90)
Over 2.5
1.47%
▲
(+0.57)
Under 2.5
98.53%
▼
(-0.57)
Over 3.5
0.17%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 3.5
99.83%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Argentina
74.9%
Draw
17.99%
Burkina Faso
7.08%
Argentina
2-0
@
15.84%
▲
(+0.21)
1-0 @ 15.75% ▼ (-0.23)
3-0 @ 11.18% ▼ (-0.23)
2-1 @ 8.8% ▲ (+0.17)
3-1 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 15.78% ▼ (-0.44)
Total : 74.9%
1-0 @ 15.75% ▼ (-0.23)
3-0 @ 11.18% ▼ (-0.23)
2-1 @ 8.8% ▲ (+0.17)
3-1 @ 5.51% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.04% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 15.78% ▼ (-0.44)
Total : 74.9%
Draw
1-1
@
7.89%
0-0 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.21)
2-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.32)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 17.99%
0-0 @ 7.21% ▼ (-0.21)
2-2 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.32)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 17.99%
Burkina Faso
0-1
@
3.12%
▼
(-0.19)
1-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.31)
Other @ 0.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 7.08%
1-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.31)
Other @ 0.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 7.08%