Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.56% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.19%) and 1-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%) , while for a Belarus win it was 1-0 (8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.