Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cyprus win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cyprus win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-2 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.