Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belarus win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Armenia had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belarus win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Armenia win was 1-0 (7.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.