Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 65.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.83% and a win for Guinea-Bissau had a probability of 12.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.03%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%) , while for a Guinea-Bissau win it was 0-1 (5.36%).