Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 2
Sep 28, 2026 5.00pm
Stade Larbi Zaouli

Central African Republic vs Burkina Faso - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Central African Republic

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 24, 2026 5.00pm
Mauritania 3 - 1 CAR

Burkina Faso

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last game
Sep 25, 2026 8.00pm
Burkina Faso 1 - 1 Benin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 59.05%. A draw has a probability of 23.43% and a win for Central African Republic has a probability of 17.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.91%) , while for a Central African Republic win it is 1-0 (5.9%).

Result

Central African Republic 17.52% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 23.43% ▲ (+0.06)
Burkina Faso 59.05% ▲ (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.65% ▼ (-0.40)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.48% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 1.5 26.52% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 2.5 48.94% ▼ (-0.45)
Under 2.5 51.06% ▲ (+0.45)
Over 3.5 27.68% ▼ (-0.38)
Under 3.5 72.32% ▲ (+0.37)
Over 4.5 16.75% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 4.5 83.25% ▲ (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Central African Republic 13.36%
Draw 38.02%
Burkina Faso 48.62%

Team To Score First

Central African Republic 26.13% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 7.74% ▲ (+0.11)
Burkina Faso 66.13% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 31.39%
Equal 8 10.5%
Under 8 58.11%
Over 9 22.76%
Equal 9 8.64%
Under 9 68.61%
Over 10.5 16.14%
Under 10.5 83.86%

Central African Republic Goals

Over 1.5 19.03% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 1.5 80.97% ▲ (+0.35)
Over 2.5 5.43% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 2.5 94.57% ▲ (+0.19)
Over 3.5 1.42% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 98.58% ▲ (+0.07)

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5 81.74% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 18.26% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 52.2% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 1.5 47.8% ▲ (+0.23)
Over 2.5 26.71% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 2.5 73.29% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 3.5 10.82% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 89.18% ▲ (+0.12)

Score analysis

Central African Republic 17.51%
Draw 23.42%
Burkina Faso 59.05%
Central African Republic
1-0 @ 5.9% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 2.62% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 17.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.91% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 7.74% ▲ (+0.11)
2-2 @ 3.93% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 0.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 23.42%
Burkina Faso
0-1 @ 12.86% ▲ (+0.17)
0-2 @ 11.02% ▲ (+0.06)
1-2 @ 9.3% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 6.89% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 10.71% ▼ (-0.10)
Total : 59.05%

Head to Head

African Nations Championship
Aug 6, 2025 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT