Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Gameweek 1
Sep 24, 2026 5.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Larbi Zaouli
  • Aboubakary Koita 32' goal
  • Nouh Mohamed El Abd 42' yellowcard
  • Dawda Camara 69' goal
  • Mamadou Diallo 89' goal
  • yellowcard Marc Raphael Yapende 4'
  • yellowcard Edwin Quarshie 29'
  • yellowcard Dominique Youfeigane 31'
  • goal Goduine Koyalipou 48'
  • yellowcard Julien Kouadio 60'
  • redcard Julien Kouadio 74'

Mauritania vs Central African Republic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritania

All competitions

Central African Republic

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central African Republic win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central African Republic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 1-0 (8.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

Mauritania 32.45%
Draw 27.33%
Central African Republic 40.25%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.24%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.62%
Under 1.5 28.38%
Over 2.5 48.72%
Under 2.5 51.28%
Over 3.5 27.45%
Under 3.5 72.55%
Over 4.5 15.9%
Under 4.5 84.1%

First Half Winner

Mauritania 20.88%
Draw 47.98%
Central African Republic 31.14%

Team To Score First

Mauritania 34.78%
No Goal 9.54%
Central African Republic 55.68%

Corners

Over 8 17.53%
Equal 8 7.34%
Under 8 75.13%
Over 9 12.36%
Equal 9 5.17%
Under 9 82.47%
Over 10.5 8.87%
Under 10.5 91.13%

Mauritania Goals

Over 1.5 32.81%
Under 1.5 67.19%
Over 2.5 13.83%
Under 2.5 86.17%
Over 3.5 5.28%
Under 3.5 94.72%

Central African Republic Goals

Over 0.5 69.98%
Under 0.5 30.02%
Over 1.5 37.9%
Under 1.5 62.1%
Over 2.5 16.39%
Under 2.5 83.61%
Over 3.5 5.35%
Under 3.5 94.65%

Score analysis

Mauritania 32.45%
Draw 27.32%
Central African Republic 40.25%
Mauritania
1-0 @ 8.31%
2-1 @ 6.97%
2-0 @ 4.7%
3-1 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.47%
3-2 @ 1.98%
Other @ 5.02%
Total : 32.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.56%
0-0 @ 9.54%
2-2 @ 4.86%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 27.32%
Central African Republic
0-1 @ 10.55%
1-2 @ 8.03%
0-2 @ 6.64%
0-3 @ 3.8%
1-3 @ 3.69%
2-3 @ 2.45%
Other @ 5.09%
Total : 40.25%

Head to Head

African Nations Championship Gameweek 3
Aug 9, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium
  • Ghislain Mounguide 43' yellowcard
  • Donald Guesset 60' yellowcard
  • Ange Zoumara 66' yellowcard
  • Miambaye Fourdeau 68' yellowcard
  • Dimitri Kogbeto 89' yellowcard
  • goal Ahmed El Moctar 9'
  • yellowcard Nouh Mohamed El Abd 75'
International Friendlies
Jun 5, 2025 11.00pm