Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Togo win with a probability of 49.48%. A win for Central African Republic had a probability of 25.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Togo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.15%) and 1-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Central African Republic win was 1-0 (6.93%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.