Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.11% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 19.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%) , while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.