Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 55.36%. A draw had a probability of 28.52% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 16.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.79%) and 2-1 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.93%) , while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.