Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 41.41%. A draw had a probability of 30.04% and a win for Union had a probability of 28.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.7%) , while for a Union win it was 0-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.