Australian A-League Gameweek 3
Victory
Nov 1, 2026 4.00am
AAMI Park
Central Coast

Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Oct 24, 2026 9.40am
Victory 1 - 1 Melbourne City
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Charles Nduka

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Oct 25, 2026 2.00am
Wellington 2 - 0 Central Coast
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Ali Auglah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 59.43%. A draw has a probability of 20.31% and a win for Central Coast Mariners has a probability of 20.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.08%) , while for a Central Coast Mariners win it is 1-2 (5.14%).

Result

Melbourne Victory 59.43%
Draw 20.31%
Central Coast Mariners 20.26%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.8%

Goals

Over 1.5 81.63%
Under 1.5 18.37%
Over 2.5 61.53%
Under 2.5 38.47%
Over 3.5 39.68%
Under 3.5 60.32%
Over 4.5 26.38%
Under 4.5 73.62%

First Half Winner

Melbourne Victory 49.57%
Draw 36.94%
Central Coast Mariners 13.49%

Team To Score First

Melbourne Victory 68.02%
No Goal 4.62%
Central Coast Mariners 27.36%

Corners

Over 8 69.28%
Equal 8 10.16%
Under 8 20.57%
Over 9 57.87%
Equal 9 11.41%
Under 9 30.73%
Over 10.5 46.2%
Under 10.5 53.8%

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 1.5 59.12%
Under 1.5 40.88%
Over 2.5 34.98%
Under 2.5 65.02%
Over 3.5 17.78%
Under 3.5 82.22%

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5 54.58%
Under 0.5 45.42%
Over 1.5 25.17%
Under 1.5 74.83%
Over 2.5 8.66%
Under 2.5 91.34%
Over 3.5 2.54%
Under 3.5 97.46%

Score analysis

Melbourne Victory 59.43%
Draw 20.31%
Central Coast Mariners 20.26%
Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 9.08%
1-0 @ 8.74%
2-0 @ 8.1%
3-0 @ 6.45%
3-1 @ 6.24%
3-2 @ 3.31%
Other @ 17.51%
Total : 59.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.08%
2-2 @ 5.14%
0-0 @ 4.62%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.31%
Central Coast Mariners
1-2 @ 5.14%
0-1 @ 5.01%
0-2 @ 2.92%
1-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 20.26%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 22
Victory
Mar 21, 2026 6.10am
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Central Coast
  • Matthew Grimaldi 46' yellowcard
  • Nishan Velupillay 50' goal
  • Juan Mata 54' goal
  • Nikos Vergos 69' yellowcard
  • Keegan Jelacic 78' yellowcard
  • Nikos Vergos 90'+1' goal
  • Jason Davidson 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Reno Piscopo 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Jason Davidson 90'+4' goal
  • goal S. Ngor 7'
  • yellowcard B. Brandtman 62'
  • yellowcard Oliver Lavale 62'
  • yellowcard H. Eames 76'
  • yellowcard Kaito Taniguchi 76'
Australian A-League Gameweek 15
Central Coast
Feb 1, 2026 6.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
Victory
  • Ali Auglah 35' goal
  • Brad Tapp 58' yellowcard
  • B. Tapp 58' yellowcard
  • 71' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Blair 71' yellowcard
  • Nathanael Blair 71' yellowcard
  • Christian Theoharous 90'+3' yellowcard
  • C. Theoharous 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordi Valadon 46'
  • yellowcard Nishan Velupillay 46'
  • yellowcard Keegan Jelacic 71'
  • yellowcard Charles Boniface Nduka 71'
  • yellowcard Charles Nduka 71'
  • yellowcard Jing Reec 82'
Australian A-League Gameweek 22
Victory
Mar 8, 2025 8.35am
3
0
HT : 6 0
FT Melbourne Rectangular Stadium
Central Coast
  • Nishan Velupillay 9' goal
  • Nishan Velupillay 9' goal
  • Nishan Velupillay 9' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 41' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 41' goal
  • Bruno Fornaroli 41' goal
  • Nishan Velupillay 55' yellowcard
  • Nishan Velupillay 55' yellowcard
  • Joshua Rawlins 85' yellowcard
  • Joshua Rawlins 85' yellowcard
  • Zinedine Machach 90'+2' goal
  • Zinedine Machach 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Christian Theoharous 56'
  • yellowcard Christian Theoharous 56'
  • yellowcard Nicholas Duarte 58'
  • yellowcard Nicholas Duarte 58'
Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Central Coast
Oct 18, 2024 9.35am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
Victory
  • Alfie McCalmont 53' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Teague 4'
  • yellowcard Jason Geria 33'
  • redcard Roderick Miranda 60'
  • yellowcard Jack Duncan 90'+6'
Australian A-League
Central Coast
May 25, 2024 10.55am
3
1
HT : 0 0
ET Central Coast Stadium
Victory
  • Jacob Farrell 83' yellowcard
  • Ryan Edmondson 90'+1' goal
  • Miguel Di Pizio 97' goal
  • Ryan Edmondson 120'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Adama Traore 21'
  • goal Jason Geria 50'
  • yellowcard Daniel Arzani 70'
  • yellowcard Damien Da Silva 107'
Australian A-League Gameweek 18
Victory
Feb 25, 2024 6.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Marvel Stadium
Central Coast
  • Jason Geria 21' yellowcard
  • Jason Geria 21' yellowcard
  • Daniel Arzani 47' yellowcard
  • Daniel Arzani 47' yellowcard
  • Roderick Miranda 59' yellowcard
  • Roderick Miranda 59' yellowcard
  • Roderick Miranda 80' redcard
  • Roderick Miranda 80' redcard
  • Jordi Valadon 90' redcard
  • Jordi Valadon 90' redcard
  • goal Ryan Teague 48' (OG)
  • goal Ryan Teague 48' (OG)
  • yellowcard Alou Kuol 56'
  • yellowcard Alou Kuol 56'
  • yellowcard Angel Torres 65'
  • yellowcard Angel Torres 65'
  • redcard Ronald Barcellos Arantes 90'+7'
  • redcard Ronald Barcellos 90'+7'
  • yellowcard Storm Roux 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Storm Roux 90'+10'

Form Data

Victory 1 - 1 Melbourne City
Wellington 2 - 1 Victory
Victory 0 - 1 Sydney FC
Western Sydney 0 - 2 Victory
Victory 2 - 2 Newcastle Jets
Auckland FC 2 - 2 Victory
Wellington 2 - 0 Central Coast
Central Coast 2 - 2 Newcastle Jets
Vanuatu United 1 - 0 Central Coast
Vanuatu United 3 - 2 Central Coast
Newcastle Jets 4 - 0 Central Coast
Auckland FC 0 - 1 Central Coast