Australian A-League Gameweek 2
Wellington
Oct 25, 2026 2.00am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Westpac Stadium
Central Coast
  • Rafael Duran 55' goal
  • Corban Piper 57' goal
  • yellowcard Ali Auglah 59'
  • yellowcard Shumba Mutokoyi 90'+2'

Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 3.00am
Wellington 2 - 1 Victory
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Corban Piper

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 9.40am
Central Coast 2 - 2 Newcastle Jets
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Ali Auglah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

Wellington Phoenix 48.56% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 23.64% ▲ (+0.04)
Central Coast Mariners 27.83% ▲ (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.13% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.78% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 19.22% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 59.42% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 2.5 40.58% ▲ (+0.12)
Over 3.5 37.16% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 62.87% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 22.32% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 77.68% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Wellington Phoenix 36.19% ▼ (-0.53)
Draw 43.37% ▲ (+0.48)
Central Coast Mariners 20.44% ▲ (+0.05)

Team To Score First

Wellington Phoenix 60.52% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 5.04% ▲ (+0.03)
Central Coast Mariners 34.44% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 62.6% ▲ (+0.36)
Equal 8 11.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 25.98% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 9 50.48% ▲ (+0.30)
Equal 9 12.12% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 9 37.4% ▼ (-0.36)
Over 10.5 38.76% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 10.5 61.23% ▼ (-0.24)

Wellington Phoenix Goals

Over 1.5 50.94% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 49.06% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 25.5% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 2.5 74.5% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 10.74% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 89.26% ▲ (+0.04)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5 64.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 35.3% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 33.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 66.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 12.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.01% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.31% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.69% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

Wellington Phoenix 48.57%
Draw 23.65%
Central Coast Mariners 27.83%
Wellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 8.4% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.27% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 10.44% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 48.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.32% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 6.48%
0-0 @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 0.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.65%
Central Coast Mariners
1-2 @ 7% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.83% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 3.82% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 27.83%

Head to Head

Australian A-League
Wellington
Dec 21, 2025 2.00am
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Central Coast
  • Corban Piper 36' goal
  • Manjrekar James 49' goal
  • Carlo Armiento 52' goal
  • goal Sabit Ngor 45'+6'
  • yellowcard D. Herrington 84'
  • yellowcard Diesel Harrington 84'
Australian A-League
Central Coast
Nov 2, 2025 6.00am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Wellington
Australian A-League Gameweek 16
Wellington
Jan 25, 2025 4.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Westpac Stadium
Central Coast
  • Paulo Retre 24' yellowcard
  • Paulo Retre 24' yellowcard
  • Matthew Sheridan 70' yellowcard
  • Matthew Sheridan 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Diesel Harrington 50'
  • yellowcard Diesel Harrington 50'
  • yellowcard Nathan Paull 73'
  • yellowcard Nathan Paull 73'
  • yellowcard Harrison Steele 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Harrison Steele 90'+2'
Australian A-League Gameweek 4
Central Coast
Nov 10, 2024 5.00am
0
3
HT : 0 4
FT Central Coast Stadium
Wellington
  • Sasha Kuzevski 6' yellowcard
  • Sasha Kuzevski 6' yellowcard
  • Mikael Doka 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Mikael Doka 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Alfie McCalmont 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Alfie McCalmont 45'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Hideki Ishige 15'
  • goal Hideki Ishige 15'
  • yellowcard Sam Sutton 35'
  • yellowcard Sam Sutton 35'
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 39'
  • goal Kosta Barbarouses 39'
  • goal Sam Sutton 53'
  • goal Sam Sutton 53'
  • yellowcard Kazuki Nagasawa 60'
  • yellowcard Kazuki Nagasawa 60'
Australian A-League Gameweek 23
Central Coast
Apr 6, 2024 7.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
Wellington
  • Mark Jackson 25' yellowcard
  • Mark Jackson 25' yellowcard
  • Angel Torres 61' goal
  • Angel Torres 61' goal
  • Brian Kaltack 72' yellowcard
  • Brian Kaltack 72' yellowcard
  • Mikael Doka 90'+1' goal
  • Mikael Doka 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Youstin Salas 24'
  • yellowcard Youstin Salas 24'
  • goal Ben Old 78'
  • goal Ben Old 78'
Australian A-League Gameweek 12
Wellington
Feb 6, 2024 3.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wellington Regional Stadium
Central Coast
  • yellowcard Christian Theoharous 68'
  • yellowcard Christian Theoharous 68'

Form Data

Wellington 2 - 1 Victory
Macarthur 4 - 0 Wellington
Wellington 2 - 1 Western Sydney
Melbourne City 2 - 0 Wellington
Victory 0 - 1 Wellington
Brisbane Roar 1 - 2 Wellington
Central Coast 2 - 2 Newcastle Jets
Vanuatu United 1 - 0 Central Coast
Vanuatu United 3 - 2 Central Coast
Newcastle Jets 4 - 0 Central Coast
Auckland FC 0 - 1 Central Coast
Central Coast 2 - 2 Brisbane Roar