Australian A-League Gameweek 1
Oct 17, 2026 9.40am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Ali Auglah 11' goal
  • Ali Auglah 42' yellowcard
  • Alexander Bolton 49' yellowcard
  • Oliver Lavale 60' goal
  • Bailey Brandtman 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Will Dobson 34'
  • yellowcard Max Burgess 42'
  • goal Patrick Wood 49'
  • goal Oliver Lavale 78' (OG)

Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 8.00am
Newcastle Jets 4 - 0 Central Coast
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Ali Auglah

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last game
May 16, 2026 10.40am
Newcastle Jets 1 - 1 Sydney FC
Goals scored
2
Top scorer
Patrick Wood

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 28.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (6.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

Central Coast Mariners 28.9% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 25.53% ▲ (+0.50)
Newcastle Jets 45.54% ▼ (-0.50)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.48% ▲ (+0.35)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.44% ▲ (+0.25)
Under 1.5 22.56% ▼ (-0.25)
Over 2.5 56.53% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 2.5 43.47% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 3.5 34.72% ▲ (+1.15)
Under 3.5 65.28% ▼ (-1.16)
Over 4.5 20.77% ▲ (+0.81)
Under 4.5 79.23% ▼ (-0.80)

First Half Winner

Central Coast Mariners 24.38% ▲ (+0.38)
Draw 40.27% ▼ (-0.64)
Newcastle Jets 35.35% ▲ (+0.26)

Team To Score First

Central Coast Mariners 37.36% ▲ (+1.22)
No Goal 6.92% ▲ (+0.05)
Newcastle Jets 55.72% ▼ (-1.26)

Corners

Over 8 68.1% ▼ (-4.97)
Equal 8 9.97% ▲ (+0.95)
Under 8 21.93% ▲ (+4.02)
Over 9 57.07% ▼ (-5.59)
Equal 9 11.03% ▲ (+0.63)
Under 9 31.9% ▲ (+4.96)
Over 10.5 45.88% ▼ (-5.81)
Under 10.5 54.12% ▲ (+5.81)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 1.5 33.35% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 1.5 66.65% ▼ (-0.49)
Over 2.5 13.35% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 2.5 86.65% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 3.5 4.65% ▲ (+0.40)
Under 3.5 95.35% ▼ (-0.40)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5 76.08% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 23.92% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 1.5 47.47% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 52.53% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 22.92% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 2.5 77.08% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 9.2% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 3.5 90.8% ▼ (-0.21)

Score analysis

Central Coast Mariners 28.91%
Draw 25.53%
Newcastle Jets 45.54%
Central Coast Mariners
1-0 @ 6.94% ▼ (-0.10)
2-1 @ 6.69% ▼ (-0.22)
2-0 @ 3.86% ▲ (+0.11)
3-1 @ 2.8% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.26)
Other @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.33)
Total : 28.91%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44% ▲ (+0.08)
0-0 @ 6.92% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.24% ▲ (+0.15)
3-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.19)
Other @ 0.33% ▲ (+0.08)
Total : 25.53%
Newcastle Jets
1-2 @ 9.26% ▼ (-0.23)
0-1 @ 8.68% ▼ (-0.23)
0-2 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.11)
1-3 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 4% ▼ (-0.27)
2-3 @ 3.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 8.87% ▲ (+0.13)
Total : 45.54%

Head to Head

Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Apr 25, 2026 8.00am
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Will Dobson 21' goal
  • Clayton Taylor 25' goal
  • Eli Adams 44' goal
  • Zach Clough 56' yellowcard
  • Max Cooper 56' yellowcard
  • Kota Mizunuma 68' yellowcard
  • Xavier Bertoncello 68' yellowcard
  • Kosta Grozos 80' yellowcard
  • Kota Mizunuma 86' goal
  • yellowcard Nathan Paull 46'
  • yellowcard B. Brandtman 62'
  • yellowcard M. Di Pizio 62'
  • yellowcard C. Theoharous 80'
  • yellowcard H. Steele 86'
Australian A-League Gameweek 19
Feb 28, 2026 6.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • A. McCalmont 29' yellowcard
  • Nathanael Blair 77' yellowcard
  • S. Ngor 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard L. Scicluna 64'
  • yellowcard Kota Mizunuma 72'
  • yellowcard Xavier Bertoncello 72'
  • yellowcard Ben Gibson 82'
Australian A-League
Oct 19, 2025 5.00am
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Australian A-League Gameweek 26
Apr 12, 2025 10.35am
6
0
HT : 2 0
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Aleksandar Susnjar 17' goal
  • Daniel Wilmering 40' yellowcard
  • Trent Sainsbury 45' goal
  • Daniel Wilmering 48' goal
  • Clayton Taylor 50' goal
  • Eli Adams 54' yellowcard
  • Eli Adams 73' goal
  • Eli Adams 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Trent Sainsbury 25'
  • redcard Storm Roux 39'
  • yellowcard Alfie McCalmont 79'
Australian A-League Gameweek 17
Feb 1, 2025 8.35am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Central Coast Stadium
  • Trent Sainsbury 15' yellowcard
  • Nathan Paull 39' goal
  • Abdul Faisal 50' goal
  • Brian Kaltack 70' yellowcard
  • Mikael Doka 72' yellowcard
  • goal Lachlan Rose 59'
  • goal Mark Natta 87'
Australian A-League Gameweek 5
Nov 22, 2024 9.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Stadium
  • Callum Timmins 6' yellowcard
  • Thomas Aquilina 64' goal
  • Kosta Grozos 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alou Kuol 35'
  • goal Brian Kaltack 66'
  • goal Aleksandar Susnjar 75' (OG)
  • yellowcard Lucas Mauragis 90'