AFC Champions League Gameweek 2
Oct 13, 2026 8.45am
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT McDonald Jones Stadium
  • Nikolaos Vergos 32' goal
  • Patrick Wood 86' yellowcard
  • Ethan Debono 88' yellowcard
  • goal Yusei Toshida 40'
  • yellowcard Tokuma Suzuki 66'
  • goal Deniz Hümmet 73'
  • goal Welton 86'
  • yellowcard Takeru Kishimoto 90'+3'

Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 11.00am
Kashima Antlers 7 - 1 Newcastle Jets

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
AFC Champions League
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 11.00am
Gamba Osaka 4 - 1 Công An Nhân Dân

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Gamba Osaka has a probability of 34.31% and a draw has a probability of 22.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.88%) and 2-0 (5.48%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win is 1-2 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.91%).

Result

Newcastle Jets 43.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 22.55%
Gamba Osaka 34.31%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.57% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 17.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 62.9% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 37.1% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 41.87% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 58.13% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 4.5 26.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 73.35% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Newcastle Jets 34.27%
Draw 36.65%
Gamba Osaka 29.08%

Team To Score First

Newcastle Jets 49.72% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 4.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Gamba Osaka 46.06%

Corners

Over 8 65.18%
Equal 8 9.52%
Under 8 25.3%
Over 9 54.91%
Equal 9 10.27%
Under 9 34.82%
Over 10.5 44.64%
Under 10.5 55.36%

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 1.5 48.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 51.83% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 24.79% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 75.21% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 10.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 89.22% ▼ (-0.02)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 69.89% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 30.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 40.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 18.26%
Under 2.5 81.74%
Over 3.5 7.18%
Under 3.5 92.82%

Score analysis

Newcastle Jets 43.14%
Draw 22.55%
Gamba Osaka 34.31%
Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.24%
1-0 @ 6.88%
2-0 @ 5.48%
3-1 @ 5.1%
3-2 @ 3.91%
3-0 @ 3.23%
Other @ 10.3% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 43.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.91%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.55%
Gamba Osaka
1-2 @ 7.69% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 6.15%
0-2 @ 4.46%
1-3 @ 3.95%
2-3 @ 3.49%
0-3 @ 1.87%
Other @ 6.7%
Total : 34.31%