J1 League Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2026 11.00am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki
  • Hotaru Yamaguchi  61' yellowcard
  • Kanta Doi 66' yellowcard
  • Kenshin Yasuda 79' goal
  • Matheus Jesus 84' goal
  • yellowcard Ryo Hatsuse 36'
  • goal Deniz Hümmet 90'
  • goal Issam Jebali 90'+4'

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 10.30am
V-Varen Nagasaki 0 - 3 FC Tokyo
Goals scored
6
Top scorer
Thiago

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 10.00am
Gamba Osaka 0 - 0 Hiroshima
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Issam Jebali

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for V-Varen Nagasaki has a probability of 33.73% and a draw has a probability of 25.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest V-Varen Nagasaki win is 1-0 (8.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.66%).

Result

V-Varen Nagasaki 33.73%
Draw 25.39%
Gamba Osaka 40.91% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.96%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.91% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 24.09% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 52.6% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.4% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.89% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.11% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.85% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 83.15% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

V-Varen Nagasaki 26.16%
Draw 40.75%
Gamba Osaka 33.09%

Team To Score First

V-Varen Nagasaki 45.63% (+0.02)
No Goal 6.72% (-0.02)
Gamba Osaka 47.65%

Corners

Over 8 58.99%
Equal 8 11.5%
Under 8 29.51%
Over 9 47.15%
Equal 9 11.84%
Under 9 41.01%
Over 10.5 35.99%
Under 10.5 64.01%

V-Varen Nagasaki Goals

Over 1.5 34.97% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 65.03% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.89% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 86.11% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.14%
Under 3.5 95.86%

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 73.6% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 26.4% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 41.31% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 58.69% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 17.54% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.46% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.71% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.29% (-0.01)

Score analysis

V-Varen Nagasaki 33.73%
Draw 25.39%
Gamba Osaka 40.93%
V-Varen Nagasaki
1-0 @ 8.14%
2-1 @ 7.94%
2-0 @ 5.08%
3-1 @ 3.41% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.65%
3-0 @ 2.54%
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 33.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66%
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.69% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.39%
Gamba Osaka
0-1 @ 9.28%
1-2 @ 8.88% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.55% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.95% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.36% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.54% (+0.01)
Total : 40.93%