J1 League Gameweek 5
Sep 2, 2026 11.00am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki
  • Hotaru Yamaguchi  61' yellowcard
  • Kanta Doi 66' yellowcard
  • Kenshin Yasuda 79' goal
  • Matheus Jesus 84' goal
  • yellowcard Ryo Hatsuse 36'
  • goal Deniz Hümmet 90'
  • goal Issam Jebali 90'+4'

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Gamba Osaka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 10.30am
V-Varen Nagasaki 0 - 3 FC Tokyo
Goals scored
7
Top scorer
Thiago

Gamba Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Aug 29, 2026 10.00am
Gamba Osaka 0 - 0 Hiroshima
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Issam Jebali

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for V-Varen Nagasaki had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest V-Varen Nagasaki win was 1-0 (8.13%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result

V-Varen Nagasaki 33.82% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 25.36% ▼ (-0.04)
Gamba Osaka 40.82% ▼ (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.07% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.97% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 24.03% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 52.73% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 2.5 47.27% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 30% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 3.5 70% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 16.92% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 83.08% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

V-Varen Nagasaki 26.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 40.71% ▼ (-0.04)
Gamba Osaka 33.14% ▲ (+0.05)

Team To Score First

V-Varen Nagasaki 45.75% ▲ (+0.12)
No Goal 6.68% ▼ (-0.05)
Gamba Osaka 47.57% ▼ (-0.08)

Corners

Over 8 59.01% ▲ (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.51% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 29.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 9 47.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Equal 9 11.84%
Under 9 40.99% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 10.5 36% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 10.5 64% ▼ (-0.02)

V-Varen Nagasaki Goals

Over 1.5 35.11% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 1.5 64.89% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 2.5 13.98% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 86.02% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 4.17% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 95.83% ▼ (-0.04)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5 73.55% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 26.45% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 41.29% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 58.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 17.54%
Under 2.5 82.46%
Over 3.5 6.71%
Under 3.5 93.29%

Score analysis

V-Varen Nagasaki 33.83%
Draw 25.36%
Gamba Osaka 40.81%
V-Varen Nagasaki
1-0 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.96% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.67% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 33.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.65% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.36%
Gamba Osaka
0-1 @ 9.22% ▼ (-0.06)
1-2 @ 8.87% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.51% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.95%
0-3 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.38% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 6.54%
Total : 40.81%