J1 League Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2026 10.30am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki
  • Yuto Iwasaki 3' yellowcard
  • Norman Campbell 78' yellowcard
  • goal Motoki Nagakura 37'
  • yellowcard Takahiro Ko 48'
  • goal Shion Homma 45'+4'
  • goal Marcelo Ryan 55'

V-Varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki

All competitions
J1 League
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 11.00am
Reysol 4 - 2 V-Varen Nagasaki
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Thiago

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 11.30am
FC Tokyo 2 - 0 JEF United
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Motoki Nagakura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for V-Varen Nagasaki had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest V-Varen Nagasaki win was 1-0 (10.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result

V-Varen Nagasaki 34.62% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 27.9%
FC Tokyo 37.51%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.42% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 29.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 44.82%
Under 2.5 55.18%
Over 3.5 23.78%
Under 3.5 76.22%
Over 4.5 12.37% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 87.63% ▲ (+0.01)

First Half Winner

V-Varen Nagasaki 26.68%
Draw 46.67%
FC Tokyo 26.64%

Team To Score First

V-Varen Nagasaki 45.05%
No Goal 8.74% ▼ (-0.01)
FC Tokyo 46.21% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 57.86%
Equal 8 11.56%
Under 8 30.57%
Over 9 46.07%
Equal 9 11.79%
Under 9 42.14%
Over 10.5 35.05%
Under 10.5 64.95%

V-Varen Nagasaki Goals

Over 1.5 32.49%
Under 1.5 67.51%
Over 2.5 11.48% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 88.52% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.26%
Under 3.5 96.74%

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5 69.56%
Under 0.5 30.44%
Over 1.5 34.97% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.03% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 13.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 86.84% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.21%
Under 3.5 95.79%

Score analysis

V-Varen Nagasaki 34.6%
Draw 27.9%
FC Tokyo 37.51%
V-Varen Nagasaki
1-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 7.83%
2-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.99%
3-0 @ 2.35%
3-2 @ 2.07%
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 34.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.18% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.12%
Other @ 0.05%
Total : 27.9%
FC Tokyo
0-1 @ 10.59%
1-2 @ 8.07%
0-2 @ 6.55%
1-3 @ 3.29%
0-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.07%
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 37.51%