J1 League Gameweek 4
Aug 29, 2026 10.30am
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki
  • Yuto Iwasaki 3' yellowcard
  • Norman Campbell 78' yellowcard
  • goal Motoki Nagakura 37'
  • yellowcard Takahiro Ko 48'
  • goal Shion Homma 45'+4'
  • goal Marcelo Ryan 55'

V-Varen Nagasaki vs FC Tokyo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki

All competitions
J1 League
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 11.00am
Reysol 4 - 2 V-Varen Nagasaki
Goals scored
4
Top scorer
Thiago

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 11.30am
FC Tokyo 2 - 0 JEF United
Goals scored
8
Top scorer
Motoki Nagakura

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for V-Varen Nagasaki has a probability of 34.59% and a draw has a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest V-Varen Nagasaki win is 1-0 (10.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.17%).

Result

V-Varen Nagasaki 34.59% (+0.46)
Draw 27.9% (-1.07)
FC Tokyo 37.51% (+0.62)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.39% (+1.97)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.51% (+1.78)
Under 1.5 29.49% (-1.78)
Over 2.5 44.82% (+2.12)
Under 2.5 55.18% (-2.12)
Over 3.5 23.78% (+1.55)
Under 3.5 76.22% (-1.55)
Over 4.5 12.38% (+0.81)
Under 4.5 87.62% (-0.80)

First Half Winner

V-Varen Nagasaki 26.68% (+0.29)
Draw 46.67% (+0.92)
FC Tokyo 26.64% (-1.19)

Team To Score First

V-Varen Nagasaki 45.05% (+1.51)
No Goal 8.75% (-0.99)
FC Tokyo 46.2% (-0.53)

Corners

Over 8 57.86% (+0.72)
Equal 8 11.56% (-0.03)
Under 8 30.57% (-0.70)
Over 9 46.07% (+0.68)
Equal 9 11.79% (+0.04)
Under 9 42.14% (-0.72)
Over 10.5 35.05% (+0.58)
Under 10.5 64.95% (-0.58)

V-Varen Nagasaki Goals

Over 1.5 32.49% (+1.22)
Under 1.5 67.51% (-1.21)
Over 2.5 11.49% (+0.73)
Under 2.5 88.51% (-0.72)
Over 3.5 3.26% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 96.74% (-0.24)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 0.5 69.56% (+1.13)
Under 0.5 30.44% (-1.12)
Over 1.5 34.98% (+1.33)
Under 1.5 65.02% (-1.33)
Over 2.5 13.17% (+0.67)
Under 2.5 86.83% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 4.21% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 95.79% (-0.18)

Score analysis

V-Varen Nagasaki 34.59%
Draw 27.91%
FC Tokyo 37.51%
V-Varen Nagasaki
1-0 @ 10.16% (-0.41)
2-1 @ 7.83% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 5.98% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 2.99% (+0.25)
3-0 @ 2.35% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.07% (+0.16)
Other @ 3.21% (+0.27)
Total : 34.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.17% (-0.25)
0-0 @ 8.75% (-0.99)
2-2 @ 5.12% (+0.21)
Other @ 0.05% (-0.04)
Total : 27.91%
FC Tokyo
0-1 @ 10.59% (-0.39)
1-2 @ 8.07% (+0.31)
0-2 @ 6.55% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.29% (+0.27)
0-3 @ 2.78% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.07% (+0.19)
Other @ 4.16% (+0.23)
Total : 37.51%