J1 League Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2026 11.30am
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Grenada National Stadium
  • Shion Homma 34' yellowcard
  • Takahiro Ko 72' goal
  • Soma Anzai 85' goal

FC Tokyo vs JEF United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 11.00am
Vissel Kobe 2 - 2 FC Tokyo
Goals scored
5
Top scorer
Motoki Nagakura

JEF United

All competitions
J1 League
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 11.00am
JEF United 0 - 4 Machida Zelvia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for JEF United had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest JEF United win was 0-1 (6.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result

FC Tokyo 46.04%
Draw 25.35%
JEF United 28.6%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.65%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.15% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 22.85% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 54.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 45.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 32.71%
Under 3.5 67.29%
Over 4.5 18.93%
Under 4.5 81.07%

First Half Winner

FC Tokyo 34.53%
Draw 43.62%
JEF United 21.84%

Team To Score First

FC Tokyo 55.92%
No Goal 6.49%
JEF United 37.59%

Corners

Over 8 54.77%
Equal 8 12.11%
Under 8 33.12%
Over 9 42.74%
Equal 9 12.03%
Under 9 45.23%
Over 10.5 31.8%
Under 10.5 68.2%

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 1.5 46.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 53.46% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.25% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.75% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.01%
Under 3.5 91.99%

JEF United Goals

Over 0.5 64.92% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 35.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 32.63% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 67.37% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 12.29% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 87.71% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.12% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.88% ▲ (+0.01)

Score analysis

FC Tokyo 46.06%
Draw 25.34%
JEF United 28.6%
FC Tokyo
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.87%
3-0 @ 3.72% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.82% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 46.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 6.49%
2-2 @ 6.1%
3-3 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.34%
JEF United
0-1 @ 6.91% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.79%
0-2 @ 4.1%
1-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.72% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 28.6%