J1 League Gameweek 3
Aug 21, 2026 11.30am
Grenada National Stadium

FC Tokyo vs JEF United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 11.00am
Vissel Kobe 2 - 2 FC Tokyo

JEF United

All competitions
J1 League
Last game
Aug 15, 2026 11.00am
JEF United 0 - 4 Machida Zelvia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for JEF United has a probability of 28.6% and a draw has a probability of 25.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest JEF United win is 0-1 (6.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.26%).

Result

FC Tokyo 46.04%
Draw 25.35%
JEF United 28.6%

Both Teams to Score: 

56.65%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.15% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 22.85% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 54.18% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 45.82% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 32.71%
Under 3.5 67.29%
Over 4.5 18.93%
Under 4.5 81.07%

First Half Winner

FC Tokyo 34.53%
Draw 43.62%
JEF United 21.84%

Team To Score First

FC Tokyo 55.92%
No Goal 6.49%
JEF United 37.59%

Corners

Over 8 54.77%
Equal 8 12.11%
Under 8 33.12%
Over 9 42.74%
Equal 9 12.03%
Under 9 45.23%
Over 10.5 31.8%
Under 10.5 68.2%

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 1.5 46.54% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 53.46% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 21.25% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 78.75% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 8.01%
Under 3.5 91.99%

JEF United Goals

Over 0.5 64.92% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 35.08% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 32.63% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 67.37% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 12.29% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 87.71% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 4.12% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.88% (+0.01)

Score analysis

FC Tokyo 46.06%
Draw 25.34%
JEF United 28.6%
FC Tokyo
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.6% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.87%
3-0 @ 3.72% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.82% (+0.02)
Total : 46.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.26%
0-0 @ 6.49%
2-2 @ 6.1%
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.19% (-0.02)
Total : 25.34%
JEF United
0-1 @ 6.91% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.79%
0-2 @ 4.1%
1-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 28.6%