Club Friendlies 3
Feb 8, 2026 2.00am
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 18, 2026 1.15am
FC Tokyo 4 - 3 Hiroshima

Shonan Bellmare

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 21, 2026 2.00am
Gamba Osaka 1 - 1 Shonan Bellmare

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw has a probability of 24.85% and a win for Shonan Bellmare has a probability of 23.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.21%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.96%) , while for a Shonan Bellmare win it is 0-1 (6.52%).

Result

FC Tokyo 51.45% ▲ (+0.81)
Draw 24.85% ▲ (+0.66)
Shonan Bellmare 23.69% ▼ (-1.46)

Both Teams to Score: 

55% ▼ (-1.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.74% ▼ (-0.97)
Under 1.5 23.26% ▲ (+0.97)
Over 2.5 53.34% ▼ (-1.86)
Under 2.5 46.66% ▲ (+1.86)
Over 3.5 31.39% ▼ (-1.83)
Under 3.5 68.61% ▲ (+1.83)
Over 4.5 18.22% ▼ (-1.61)
Under 4.5 81.78% ▲ (+1.60)

First Half Winner

FC Tokyo 35.95% ▲ (+3.90)
Draw 46.42% ▼ (-4.50)
Shonan Bellmare 17.63% ▲ (+0.61)

Team To Score First

FC Tokyo 59.88% ▲ (+2.86)
No Goal 6.2% ▲ (+0.30)
Shonan Bellmare 33.92% ▼ (-3.16)

Corners

Over 8 61.47% ▲ (+1.25)
Equal 8 11.2% ▼ (-0.20)
Under 8 27.33% ▼ (-1.07)
Over 9 49.7% ▲ (+1.34)
Equal 9 11.76% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 9 38.53% ▼ (-1.25)
Over 10.5 38.4% ▲ (+1.30)
Under 10.5 61.6% ▼ (-1.30)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 1.5 49.45% ▼ (-0.27)
Under 1.5 50.55% ▲ (+0.27)
Over 2.5 23.78% ▼ (-0.52)
Under 2.5 76.22% ▲ (+0.52)
Over 3.5 9.42% ▼ (-0.57)
Under 3.5 90.58% ▲ (+0.57)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5 61.38% ▼ (-1.05)
Under 0.5 38.62% ▲ (+1.05)
Over 1.5 27.3% ▼ (-1.74)
Under 1.5 72.7% ▲ (+1.75)
Over 2.5 8.92% ▼ (-1.11)
Under 2.5 91.08% ▲ (+1.11)
Over 3.5 2.61% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 3.5 97.39% ▲ (+0.49)

Score analysis

FC Tokyo 51.45%
Draw 24.85%
Shonan Bellmare 23.7%
FC Tokyo
1-0 @ 10.54% ▲ (+0.65)
2-1 @ 10.21% ▲ (+0.12)
2-0 @ 7.99% ▲ (+0.54)
3-1 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.55% ▲ (+0.17)
3-2 @ 3.43% ▼ (-0.16)
Other @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.59)
Total : 51.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.96% ▲ (+0.48)
0-0 @ 6.2% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 5.62% ▼ (-0.09)
Other @ 0.08% ▲ (+0.03)
Total : 24.85%
Shonan Bellmare
0-1 @ 6.52% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 5.88% ▼ (-0.25)
0-2 @ 3.45% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.21)
2-3 @ 1.85% ▼ (-0.32)
0-3 @ 1.31% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.52)
Total : 23.7%

Head to Head

J1 League
Aug 16, 2025 11.00am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 5
Mar 8, 2025 7.00am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Teppei Oka 86' yellowcard
  • Teppei Oka 86' yellowcard
J1 League Gameweek 35
Nov 3, 2024 5.00am
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Yuto Nagatomo 9' yellowcard
  • Yuto Nagatomo 9' yellowcard
  • Keigo Higashi 22' yellowcard
  • Keigo Higashi 22' yellowcard
  • goal Akito Suzuki 43'
  • goal Akito Suzuki 43'
  • goal Taiga Hata 49'
  • goal Taiga Hata 49'
  • yellowcard Kosuke Onose 51'
  • yellowcard Kosuke Onose 51'
  • yellowcard Kim Min-tae 52'
  • yellowcard Kim Min-tae 52'
  • yellowcard Junnosuke Suzuki 55'
  • yellowcard Junnosuke Suzuki 55'
J1 League Gameweek 19
Jun 22, 2024 11.00am
0
1
HT : 1 0
FT Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)
  • Lukian 45'+1' goal
  • goal Shuhei Tokumoto 79'
  • yellowcard Riki Harakawa 90'+6'
J1 League Gameweek 34
Dec 3, 2023 5.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Lemon Gas Stadium Hiratsuka (Hiratsuka)
  • Junnosuke Suzuki 65' yellowcard
  • goal Kei Koizumi 52'
  • yellowcard Kuryu Matsuki 63'
  • yellowcard Yasuki Kimoto 85'
J1 League Gameweek 7
Apr 9, 2023 7.00am
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Teruhito Nakagawa 30' goal
  • Henrique Trevisan 65' goal
  • goal Daiki Sugioka 54'
  • goal Tarik Elyounoussi 59'