Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 63.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.82% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 16.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 2-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%) , while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 1-2 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.