Jul 21, 2026 5.00am

Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions

D
W
D
D
W
W

Club Friendlies 3

D
W

Last game

Feb 8, 2026 2.00am

FC Tokyo 0 - 0 Shonan Bellmare

Nagoya Grampus

All competitions

W
L
L
L
D
W

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a FC Tokyo win with a probability of 48.27%. A win for Nagoya Grampus has a probability of 27.21% and a draw has a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Tokyo win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win is 1-2 (7.29%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.55%).

Result

FC Tokyo 48.27% ▼ (-0.02)

Draw 24.52% ▲ (+0.02)

Nagoya Grampus 27.21% ▲ (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score:

59.53% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.4% ▲ (+0.07)

Under 1.5 20.6% ▼ (-0.06)

Over 2.5 57.23% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 2.5 42.77% ▼ (-0.08)

Over 3.5 32.84% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 3.5 67.16% ▼ (-0.08)

Over 4.5 18.75% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 4.5 81.25% ▼ (-0.07)

First Half Winner

FC Tokyo 34.7% ▼ (-0.16)

Draw 41.91% ▲ (+0.06)

Nagoya Grampus 23.39% ▲ (+0.09)

Team To Score First

FC Tokyo 54.27% ▲ (+0.02)

No Goal 5.28%

Nagoya Grampus 40.45% ▼ (-0.01)

Corners

Over 8 62.18% ▲ (+0.12)

Equal 8 11% ▼ (-0.01)

Under 8 26.82% ▼ (-0.11)

Over 9 50.56% ▲ (+0.11)

Equal 9 11.61%

Under 9 37.83% ▼ (-0.11)

Over 10.5 39.34% ▲ (+0.12)

Under 10.5 60.66% ▼ (-0.12)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 1.5 49.2% ▲ (+0.05)

Under 1.5 50.8% ▼ (-0.05)

Over 2.5 22.72% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 2.5 77.28% ▼ (-0.04)

Over 3.5 8.34% ▲ (+0.02)

Under 3.5 91.66% ▼ (-0.03)

Nagoya Grampus Goals

Over 0.5 65.88% ▲ (+0.09)

Under 0.5 34.12% ▼ (-0.10)

Over 1.5 32.18% ▲ (+0.08)

Under 1.5 67.82% ▼ (-0.09)

Over 2.5 11.86% ▲ (+0.06)

Under 2.5 88.14% ▼ (-0.07)

Over 3.5 3.35% ▲ (+0.03)

Under 3.5 96.65% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

FC Tokyo 48.28%

Draw 24.52%

Nagoya Grampus 27.21%

FC Tokyo

2-1 @ 10.91% ▲ (+0.01)

1-0 @ 9.31%

2-0 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.03)

3-1 @ 5.22%

3-0 @ 4.44% ▼ (-0.01)

3-2 @ 3.3%

Other @ 8.14% ▲ (+0.01)

Total : 48.28%

Draw

1-1 @ 11.55% ▼ (-0.01)

2-2 @ 6.07% ▲ (+0.02)

0-0 @ 5.28%

3-3 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.03)

Other @ 0.2% ▲ (+0.02)

Total : 24.52%

Nagoya Grampus

1-2 @ 7.29% ▼ (-0.01)

0-1 @ 6.02% ▲ (+0.01)

0-2 @ 3.66% ▲ (+0.03)

1-3 @ 2.8%

2-3 @ 2.54% ▲ (+0.02)

0-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.02)

Other @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.01)

Total : 27.21%

Head to Head

Aug 31, 2025 11.00am

1

1

HT : 0 0

FT

Feb 26, 2025 10.00am

3

1

HT : 1 0

FT Ajinomoto Stadium

Keita Yamashita 31'
Kein Sato 59'
Kei Koizumi 90'+3'
Soma Anzai 90'+6'

Keiya Shiihashi 64'
Kensuke Nagai 89'

Sep 14, 2024 11.00am

4

1

HT : 2 0

FT Grenada National Stadium

Keigo Higashi 13'
Diego Oliveira 31'
Henrique Trevisan 50'
Takahiro Ko 65'
Teruhito Nakagawa 81'
Peter Cklamovski 84'
Taishi Brandon Nozawa 87'

Kasper Junker 7'
Sho Inagaki 17'
Takuya Uchida 29'
Sho Inagaki 85'

May 15, 2024 11.00am

3

1

HT : 1 0

FT Minato Soccer Stadium

Takuya Uchida 14'
Haruki Yoshida 17'
Kensuke Nagai 28'
Kasper Junker 33'
Kasper Junker 66'
Kasper Junker 71'

Kashifu Bangunagande 23'
Ryotaro Araki 78'
Yasuki Kimoto 81'

Jun 24, 2023 11.00am

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT Ajinomoto Stadium

Diego Oliveira 18'
Diego Oliveira 80'

Mar 18, 2023 5.00am

0

0

HT : 0 0

FT Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium

Form Data

FC Tokyo 0 - 0 Shonan Bellmare

FC Tokyo 4 - 3 Hiroshima

FC Tokyo 1 - 1 Albirex Niigata

Vissel Kobe 0 - 0 FC Tokyo

Machida Zelvia 0 - 1 FC Tokyo

FC Tokyo 3 - 1 Okayama

Nagoya Grampus 1 - 0 Avispa Fukuoka

Machida Zelvia 3 - 1 Nagoya Grampus

Reysol 1 - 0 Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus 0 - 2 Gamba Osaka

Yokohama FC 2 - 2 Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus 2 - 1 Cerezo