Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 49.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.52% and a win for JEF United had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.03%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%) , while for a JEF United win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.