J1 League Gameweek 2
Aug 15, 2026 11.00am
Fukuda Denshi Arena

JEF United vs Machida Zelvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

JEF United

All competitions
J1 League
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 11.15am
Hiroshima 3 - 0 JEF United

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 11.00am
FC Tokyo 1 - 5 Machida Zelvia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for JEF United has a probability of 32.18% and a draw has a probability of 28.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest JEF United win is 1-0 (9.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.85%).

Result

JEF United 32.18% (+0.01)
Draw 28.28% (+0.15)
Machida Zelvia 39.51% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.66% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.47% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 29.53% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 45.51% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 54.49% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 24.34% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 75.66% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 12.94% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 87.06% (+0.16)

First Half Winner

JEF United 24.95% (-0.07)
Draw 43.82% (+0.03)
Machida Zelvia 31.23% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

JEF United 39.94% (+0.05)
No Goal 9.31% (+0.08)
Machida Zelvia 50.75% (-0.12)

Corners

Over 8 59.99% (-0.15)
Equal 8 11.36% (+0.01)
Under 8 28.65% (+0.14)
Over 9 48.21% (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 40.01% (+0.15)
Over 10.5 37.02% (-0.14)
Under 10.5 62.98% (+0.14)

JEF United Goals

Over 1.5 30.73% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69.27% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 11.12% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 88.88% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 3.1% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.9% (+0.02)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5 70.64% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 29.36% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 37.2% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 62.8% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 14.71% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 85.29% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 4.96% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 95.04% (+0.07)

Score analysis

JEF United 32.19%
Draw 28.28%
Machida Zelvia 39.51%
JEF United
1-0 @ 9.69% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.3% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.15% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.78% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.91% (-0.03)
Total : 32.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.31% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.05% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.19% (+0.02)
Total : 28.28%
Machida Zelvia
0-1 @ 10.51% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.95% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.19% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.11% (-0.05)
Other @ 4.77% (-0.09)
Total : 39.51%