J1 League
Aug 15, 2026 11.00am
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Fukuda Denshi Arena
  • Takumi Tsukui 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Daniel Hall 56' yellowcard
  • Erison 87' yellowcard
  • goal Yuta Nakayama 17'
  • goal Tete Yengi 34'
  • goal Takuma Nishimura 70'
  • goal Hotaka Nakamura 82'

JEF United vs Machida Zelvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

JEF United

All competitions
J1 League
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 11.15am
Hiroshima 3 - 0 JEF United

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 11.00am
FC Tokyo 1 - 5 Machida Zelvia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for JEF United had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest JEF United win was 1-0 (9.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%).

Result

JEF United 32.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 28.28% ▲ (+0.15)
Machida Zelvia 39.51% ▼ (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.66% ▼ (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.47% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 29.53% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 45.51% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 54.49% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 24.34% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 3.5 75.66% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 4.5 12.94% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 4.5 87.06% ▲ (+0.16)

First Half Winner

JEF United 24.95% ▼ (-0.07)
Draw 43.82% ▲ (+0.03)
Machida Zelvia 31.23% ▲ (+0.04)

Team To Score First

JEF United 39.94% ▲ (+0.05)
No Goal 9.31% ▲ (+0.08)
Machida Zelvia 50.75% ▼ (-0.12)

Corners

Over 8 59.99% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 8 11.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 28.65% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 9 48.21% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 40.01% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 10.5 37.02% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 10.5 62.98% ▲ (+0.14)

JEF United Goals

Over 1.5 30.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 69.27% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 11.12% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 88.88% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 3.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 96.9% ▲ (+0.02)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5 70.64% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 29.36% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 37.2% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 1.5 62.8% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 2.5 14.71% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 2.5 85.29% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 4.96% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 3.5 95.04% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

JEF United 32.19%
Draw 28.28%
Machida Zelvia 39.51%
JEF United
1-0 @ 9.69% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.3% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.15% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.78% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 32.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.85% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.05% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 0.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 28.28%
Machida Zelvia
0-1 @ 10.51% ▲ (+0.05)
1-2 @ 8.41% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.19% ▼ (-0.04)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.09)
Total : 39.51%