J1 League Gameweek 1
Aug 8, 2026 11.00am
Ajinomoto Stadium

FC Tokyo vs Machida Zelvia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Tokyo

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 5.00am
FC Tokyo 1 - 1 Albirex Niigata

Machida Zelvia

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 5.00am
Reysol 1 - 0 Machida Zelvia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for FC Tokyo has a probability of 36.4% and a draw has a probability of 26.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.04%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win is 1-0 (9.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.65%).

Result

FC Tokyo 36.4% (+0.18)
Draw 26.98% (+0.04)
Machida Zelvia 36.62% (-0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.61% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.59% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 25.41% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 50.12% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 49.88% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 28.34% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 71.66% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 15.46% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 84.54% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

FC Tokyo 26.09% (-0.02)
Draw 46.73% (-0.10)
Machida Zelvia 27.18% (+0.11)

Team To Score First

FC Tokyo 44.03%
No Goal 7.36% (+0.05)
Machida Zelvia 48.61% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 53.98% (+1.33)
Equal 8 11.46% (-0.01)
Under 8 34.56% (-1.31)
Over 9 42.65% (+1.23)
Equal 9 11.34% (+0.10)
Under 9 46.02% (-1.33)
Over 10.5 32.32% (+1.06)
Under 10.5 67.68% (-1.05)

FC Tokyo Goals

Over 1.5 36.52% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 63.48% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 14.73% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 85.27% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.54% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 95.46% (-0.02)

Machida Zelvia Goals

Over 0.5 70.63% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 29.37% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 37.39% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 62.61% (+0.18)
Over 2.5 14.55% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 85.45% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 4.91% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.09% (+0.05)

Score analysis

FC Tokyo 36.41%
Draw 26.98%
Machida Zelvia 36.63%
FC Tokyo
1-0 @ 9.18% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.07%
2-0 @ 5.76% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.63% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.71% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.38% (+0.02)
Total : 36.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.65% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.36% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.16% (-0.02)
Total : 26.98%
Machida Zelvia
0-1 @ 8.89% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.04% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.75% (-0.05)
Total : 36.63%

Head to Head

J1 League
Nov 9, 2025 5.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 2
Feb 22, 2025 6.00am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Kanta Doi 19' yellowcard
  • Kanta Doi 19' yellowcard
  • Yuto Nagatomo 67' yellowcard
  • Yuto Nagatomo 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Se-Hun Oh 39'
  • yellowcard Se-Hun Oh 39'
  • yellowcard Se-Hun Oh 39'
  • yellowcard Se-Hun Oh 39'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Dresevic 59'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Dresevic 59'
  • yellowcard Hiroyuki Mae 79'
  • yellowcard Hiroyuki Mae 79'
  • goal Takuma Nishimura 82'
  • goal Takuma Nishimura 82'
J1 League Gameweek 36
Nov 9, 2024 5.00am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Grenada National Stadium
  • Ryohei Shirasaki 15' goal
  • Ryohei Shirasaki 15' goal
  • Se-Hun Oh 49' goal
  • Se-Hun Oh 49' goal
  • Yuki Soma 79' goal
  • Yuki Soma 79' goal
J1 League Gameweek 9
Apr 21, 2024 7.00am
1
2
HT : 2 4
FT Ajinomoto Stadium
  • Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa 21' goal
  • Tsuyoshi Ogashiwa 21' goal
  • Peter Cklamovski 23' yellowcard
  • Peter Cklamovski 23' yellowcard
  • goal Sangho Na 14'
  • goal Sangho Na 14'
  • yellowcard Kazuki Fujimoto 22'
  • yellowcard Kazuki Fujimoto 22'
  • goal Se-Hun Oh 25'
  • goal Se-Hun Oh 25'