J1 League Gameweek 2
Aug 15, 2026 10.55am
City Light Stadium

Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last game
Aug 8, 2026 11.00am
Cerezo 2 - 1 Okayama

V-Varen Nagasaki

All competitions
J1 League
Last game
Aug 9, 2026 11.00am
V-Varen Nagasaki 2 - 1 Kyoto Sanga

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fagiano Okayama win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for V-Varen Nagasaki has a probability of 27.55% and a draw has a probability of 26.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fagiano Okayama win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest V-Varen Nagasaki win is 0-1 (8.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.4%).

Result

Fagiano Okayama 46.37% (+0.02)
Draw 26.09% (+0.15)
V-Varen Nagasaki 27.55% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.37% (-0.23)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.35% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 27.65% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 47.89% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 52.11% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 26.73% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 73.27% (+0.09)
Over 4.5 14.71% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 85.29% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Fagiano Okayama 30.61% (+0.01)
Draw 48.82% (+0.26)
V-Varen Nagasaki 20.57% (-0.27)

Team To Score First

Fagiano Okayama 53.81% (+0.68)
No Goal 7.66% (+0.08)
V-Varen Nagasaki 38.53% (-0.75)

Corners

Over 8 64.2% (-0.97)
Equal 8 11.24% (+0.07)
Under 8 24.56% (+0.92)
Over 9 52.09% (-0.92)
Equal 9 12.11% (-0.06)
Under 9 35.8% (+0.97)
Over 10.5 40.23% (-0.79)
Under 10.5 59.77% (+0.79)

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 1.5 42.53% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 57.47% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 18.7% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 81.3% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 6.47% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 93.53% (-0.02)

V-Varen Nagasaki Goals

Over 0.5 62.66% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 37.34% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 28.23% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 71.77% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 9.15% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 90.85% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.64% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.36% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Fagiano Okayama 46.36%
Draw 26.08%
V-Varen Nagasaki 27.56%
Fagiano Okayama
1-0 @ 11.65% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.13% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.81% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.06)
Other @ 6.41%
Total : 46.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.4% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.66% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.06% (+0.01)
Total : 26.08%
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.26% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.48% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.58% (-0.03)
Total : 27.56%