J1 League
-
Lucão
54'
-
Shunya Yoneda 74'
Fagiano Okayama vs V-Varen Nagasaki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fagiano Okayama win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for V-Varen Nagasaki had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fagiano Okayama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest V-Varen Nagasaki win was 0-1 (8.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
Result
Fagiano Okayama
46.37%
▲
(+0.02)
Draw
26.09%
▲
(+0.15)
V-Varen Nagasaki
27.55%
▼
(-0.15)
Both Teams to Score:
52.37%
▼
(-0.23)
Goals
Over 1.5
72.35%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
27.65%
▲
(+0.14)
Over 2.5
47.89%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
52.11%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 3.5
26.73%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 3.5
73.27%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 4.5
14.71%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 4.5
85.29%
▲
(+0.08)
First Half Winner
Fagiano Okayama
30.61%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
48.82%
▲
(+0.26)
V-Varen Nagasaki
20.57%
▼
(-0.27)
Team To Score First
Fagiano Okayama
53.81%
▲
(+0.68)
No Goal
7.66%
▲
(+0.08)
V-Varen Nagasaki
38.53%
▼
(-0.75)
Corners
Over 8
64.2%
▼
(-0.97)
Equal 8
11.24%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 8
24.56%
▲
(+0.92)
Over 9
52.09%
▼
(-0.92)
Equal 9
12.11%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 9
35.8%
▲
(+0.97)
Over 10.5
40.23%
▼
(-0.79)
Under 10.5
59.77%
▲
(+0.79)
Fagiano Okayama Goals
Over 1.5
42.53%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
57.47%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 2.5
18.7%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
81.3%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
6.47%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
93.53%
▼
(-0.02)
V-Varen Nagasaki Goals
Over 0.5
62.66%
▼
(-0.16)
Under 0.5
37.34%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
28.23%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
71.77%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 2.5
9.15%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
90.85%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
2.64%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
97.36%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Fagiano Okayama
46.36%
Draw
26.08%
V-Varen Nagasaki
27.56%
Fagiano Okayama
1-0
@
11.65%
▲
(+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 6.41%
Total : 46.36%
2-1 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.81% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.81% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 6.41%
Total : 46.36%
Draw
1-1
@
12.4%
▲
(+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.66% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 26.08%
0-0 @ 7.66% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.09% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 26.08%
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-1
@
8.34%
▼
(-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 27.56%
1-2 @ 6.74% ▼ (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 27.56%