Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.28% and a win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 21.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.47%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%) , while for a Fagiano Okayama win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.