J1 League Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2026 11.00am
transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki

All competitions

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 5.00am
Kyoto Sanga 2 - 0 Vissel Kobe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for V-Varen Nagasaki has a probability of 36.77% and a draw has a probability of 25.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest V-Varen Nagasaki win is 1-0 (9.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.02%).

Result

V-Varen Nagasaki 36.77% (-0.03)
Draw 25.35%
Kyoto Sanga 37.88% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.86%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.62% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 25.38% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 50.52% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 49.48% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.21% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 84.79% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

V-Varen Nagasaki 29.6%
Draw 44.6%
Kyoto Sanga 25.79%

Team To Score First

V-Varen Nagasaki 48.86% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.8% (-0.01)
Kyoto Sanga 44.34%

Corners

Over 8 68.38%
Equal 8 10.83%
Under 8 20.79%
Over 9 56.19%
Equal 9 12.19%
Under 9 31.62%
Over 10.5 43.83%
Under 10.5 56.17%

V-Varen Nagasaki Goals

Over 1.5 36.42% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.58% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 14% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 86% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.22%
Under 3.5 95.78%

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5 71.03% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 28.97% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 37.95% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 62.05% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 14.9% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 85.1% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.78% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.22% (-0.02)

Score analysis

V-Varen Nagasaki 36.77%
Draw 25.36%
Kyoto Sanga 37.88%
V-Varen Nagasaki
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 5.84% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.61%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 36.77%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.8% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.36%
Kyoto Sanga
0-1 @ 9.08% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.67%
0-2 @ 6.23%
1-3 @ 3.71%
0-3 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 2.62% (+0.02)
Other @ 4.77% (+0.02)
Total : 37.88%