J1 League Gameweek 1
Aug 9, 2026 11.00am
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki
  • Thiago 11' goal
  • Thiago 29' goal
  • Hijiri Onaga 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard João Pedro 34'
  • yellowcard Weverton 50'
  • goal Rafael Elias 54'
  • yellowcard Rafael Elias 78'

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Kyoto Sanga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki

All competitions

Kyoto Sanga

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 5.00am
Kyoto Sanga 2 - 0 Vissel Kobe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kyoto Sanga win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for V-Varen Nagasaki had a probability of 36.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest V-Varen Nagasaki win was 1-0 (9.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

V-Varen Nagasaki 36.73% ▼ (-0.05)
Draw 25.39% ▲ (+0.04)
Kyoto Sanga 37.88%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.82% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.55% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 25.45% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 50.45% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 49.55% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 27.9% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 3.5 72.1% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 4.5 15.13% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 4.5 84.87% ▲ (+0.08)

First Half Winner

V-Varen Nagasaki 29.6%
Draw 44.6%
Kyoto Sanga 25.79%

Team To Score First

V-Varen Nagasaki 48.84% ▼ (-0.02)
No Goal 6.83% ▲ (+0.04)
Kyoto Sanga 44.33% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 68.38%
Equal 8 10.83%
Under 8 20.79%
Over 9 56.19%
Equal 9 12.19%
Under 9 31.62%
Over 10.5 43.83%
Under 10.5 56.17%

V-Varen Nagasaki Goals

Over 1.5 36.34% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 63.66% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 2.5 13.96% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 86.04% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.19% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.81% ▲ (+0.04)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5 71.01% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 28.99% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 37.91% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 62.09% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 14.87% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 85.13% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 4.76% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 95.24% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

V-Varen Nagasaki 36.73%
Draw 25.39%
Kyoto Sanga 37.88%
V-Varen Nagasaki
1-0 @ 9.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 5.83% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.18% ▼ (-0.04)
Total : 36.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.03% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 25.39%
Kyoto Sanga
0-1 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.02)
1-2 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.23%
1-3 @ 3.7% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.6% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 4.75% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 37.88%