Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Urawa Red Diamonds win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 36.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Urawa Red Diamonds win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 0-1 (8.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.