Club Friendlies 3
Jan 17, 2026 2.00am
NACK5 Stadium Ōmiya

Omiya Ardija vs V-Varen Nagasaki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Omiya Ardija

All competitions

V-Varen Nagasaki

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 14, 2026 2.00am
V-Varen Nagasaki 0 - 0 Okinawa SV

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a V-Varen Nagasaki win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Omiya Ardija has a probability of 35.98% and a draw has a probability of 27.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a V-Varen Nagasaki win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Omiya Ardija win is 1-0 (8.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.72%).

Result

Omiya Ardija 35.98% (-0.05)
Draw 27.04% (+0.02)
V-Varen Nagasaki 36.98% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.97% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.56% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.44% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 52.72% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 47.28% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 30.27% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 69.73% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 16.97%
Under 4.5 83.03%

First Half Winner

Omiya Ardija 30.27% (+0.06)
Draw 41.18% (-0.04)
V-Varen Nagasaki 28.55% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Omiya Ardija 46% (-0.04)
No Goal 6.55%
V-Varen Nagasaki 47.45% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 68.52% (-0.03)
Equal 8 9.54%
Under 8 21.94% (+0.02)
Over 9 57.94% (-0.03)
Equal 9 10.58%
Under 9 31.48% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 47.13% (-0.02)
Under 10.5 52.87% (+0.02)

Omiya Ardija Goals

Over 1.5 37.99% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 62.01% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 15.36% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 84.64% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 4.99% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.01% (+0.02)

V-Varen Nagasaki Goals

Over 0.5 72.25% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 27.75% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 39.02% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 60.98% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 15.76% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 84.24% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 5.4% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 94.6% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Omiya Ardija 35.98%
Draw 27.04%
V-Varen Nagasaki 36.99%
Omiya Ardija
1-0 @ 8.62%
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.26% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.75% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.71% (-0.01)
Total : 35.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.72% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.55%
2-2 @ 6.03%
3-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 27.04%
V-Varen Nagasaki
1-2 @ 8.84% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.28% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.85% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.52%
2-3 @ 2.86% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.52% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.12% (+0.01)
Total : 36.99%