Club Friendlies 3
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Willum Thór Willumsson
13'
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50'
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90'+3'
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55'
NEC vs V-Varen Nagasaki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 20.43% and a win for V-Varen Nagasaki had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%) , while for a V-Varen Nagasaki win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result
NEC
61.1%
▲
(+0.11)
Draw
20.43%
▼
(-0.06)
V-Varen Nagasaki
18.47%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
56.75%
Goals
Over 1.5
82.02%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 1.5
17.98%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 2.5
61.4%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
38.6%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 3.5
39.74%
▲
(+0.15)
Under 3.5
60.26%
▼
(-0.15)
Over 4.5
25.66%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 4.5
74.34%
▼
(-0.10)
First Half Winner
NEC
43.64%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
36.56%
V-Varen Nagasaki
19.81%
▲
(+0.02)
Team To Score First
NEC
62.65%
▲
(+0.09)
No Goal
4.42%
▼
(-0.05)
V-Varen Nagasaki
32.93%
▼
(-0.04)
Corners
Over 8
71.36%
▲
(+0.25)
Equal 8
9.63%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 8
19.01%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 9
60.36%
▲
(+0.26)
Equal 9
11%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 9
28.64%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 10.5
48.9%
▲
(+0.25)
Under 10.5
51.1%
▼
(-0.25)
NEC Goals
Over 1.5
60.66%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
39.34%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 2.5
33.93%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 2.5
66.07%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
15.66%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
84.34%
▼
(-0.04)
V-Varen Nagasaki Goals
Over 0.5
56.27%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
43.73%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
24.97%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
75.03%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 2.5
8.25%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
91.75%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
2.34%
Under 3.5
97.66%
Score analysis
NEC
61.09%
Draw
20.42%
V-Varen Nagasaki
18.46%
NEC
2-1
@
10.52%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.17% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.84%
3-1 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 15.57% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 61.09%
1-0 @ 9.17% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.84%
3-1 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.7% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 15.57% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 61.09%
Draw
1-1
@
9.43%
▼
(-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.2%
0-0 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 20.42%
2-2 @ 5.2%
0-0 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 20.42%
V-Varen Nagasaki
1-2
@
4.85%
▼
(-0.04)
0-1 @ 4.36%
0-2 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 18.46%
0-1 @ 4.36%
0-2 @ 2.37% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 18.46%