Club Friendlies 3
Jul 14, 2026 6.00pm
Goffertstadion

NEC vs V-Varen Nagasaki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NEC

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 11, 2026 9.45am
Anderlecht 3 - 2 Nijmegen

V-Varen Nagasaki

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 2.00am
Omiya Ardija 0 - 2 V-Varen Nagasaki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a NEC win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw has a probability of 20.43% and a win for V-Varen Nagasaki has a probability of 18.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.43%) , while for a V-Varen Nagasaki win it is 1-2 (4.85%).

Result

NEC 61.1% (+0.11)
Draw 20.43% (-0.06)
V-Varen Nagasaki 18.47% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.75%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.02% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 17.98% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 61.4% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 38.6% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 39.74% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 60.26% (-0.15)
Over 4.5 25.66% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 74.34% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

NEC 43.64% (-0.01)
Draw 36.56%
V-Varen Nagasaki 19.81% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

NEC 62.65% (+0.09)
No Goal 4.42% (-0.05)
V-Varen Nagasaki 32.93% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 71.36% (+0.25)
Equal 8 9.63% (-0.03)
Under 8 19.01% (-0.22)
Over 9 60.36% (+0.26)
Equal 9 11% (-0.01)
Under 9 28.64% (-0.25)
Over 10.5 48.9% (+0.25)
Under 10.5 51.1% (-0.25)

NEC Goals

Over 1.5 60.66% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 39.34% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 33.93% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 66.07% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 15.66% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 84.34% (-0.04)

V-Varen Nagasaki Goals

Over 0.5 56.27% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 43.73% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 24.97% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 75.03% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 8.25% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 91.75% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.34%
Under 3.5 97.66%

Score analysis

NEC 61.09%
Draw 20.42%
V-Varen Nagasaki 18.46%
NEC
2-1 @ 10.52% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.17% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.84%
3-1 @ 6.99% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 5.7% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 4.3% (+0.02)
Other @ 15.57% (+0.06)
Total : 61.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.43% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.2%
0-0 @ 4.42% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.09% (-0.02)
Total : 20.42%
V-Varen Nagasaki
1-2 @ 4.85% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 4.36%
0-2 @ 2.37% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.17% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.25% (+0.01)
Total : 18.46%