Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Treffers win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for NEC had a probability of 36.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Treffers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.84%) and 3-1 (4.81%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (8.16%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.