Club Friendlies 3
Jul 17, 2026 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Galgenwaard
  • goal 68'
  • goal 90'

FC Utrecht vs V-Varen Nagasaki - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Utrecht

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jun 27, 2026 10.00am
Utrecht 1 - 2 De Graafschap

V-Varen Nagasaki

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 14, 2026 6.00pm
Nijmegen 3 - 1 V-Varen Nagasaki

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 24.23% and a win for V-Varen Nagasaki had a probability of 22.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.25%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%) , while for a V-Varen Nagasaki win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

FC Utrecht 53.44% (+0.13)
Draw 24.23% (-0.15)
V-Varen Nagasaki 22.33% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.63% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.86% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 24.14% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 52.44% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 47.56% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 30.06% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 69.94% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 17.84% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 82.16% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

FC Utrecht 38.07% (-0.03)
Draw 42.07% (+0.07)
V-Varen Nagasaki 19.86% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

FC Utrecht 55.06% (-0.09)
No Goal 6.56% (-0.06)
V-Varen Nagasaki 38.38% (+0.15)

Corners

Over 8 63.24% (-0.02)
Equal 8 10.85% (+0.01)
Under 8 25.91%
Over 9 51.71% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.53% (+0.01)
Under 9 36.76% (+0.02)
Over 10.5 40.47% (-0.06)
Under 10.5 59.53% (+0.06)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 1.5 50.19% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 49.81% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 24.28% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 75.72% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 9.44% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 90.56% (-0.04)

V-Varen Nagasaki Goals

Over 0.5 58.98% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 41.02% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 25.38% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 74.62% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 8.25% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 91.75% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 2.2% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.8% (-0.02)

Score analysis

FC Utrecht 53.44%
Draw 24.24%
V-Varen Nagasaki 22.32%
FC Utrecht
1-0 @ 11.17% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 10.25% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.85% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.33%
3-0 @ 5.08%
3-2 @ 3.4%
Other @ 9.36% (+0.04)
Total : 53.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.61% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.08% (-0.01)
Total : 24.24%
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-1 @ 6.41% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 5.81%
0-2 @ 2.96% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.93% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.85% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.12% (+0.04)
Total : 22.32%