J1 League Gameweek 1
Aug 8, 2026 11.00am
KINCHO Stadium

Cerezo Osaka vs Fagiano Okayama - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerezo Osaka

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 5.00am
Cerezo 1 - 3 Yokohama FC

Fagiano Okayama

All competitions
Last game
Dec 6, 2025 5.00am
Shimizu S-Pulse 1 - 2 Okayama

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw has a probability of 25.9% and a win for Fagiano Okayama has a probability of 25.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.22%) , while for a Fagiano Okayama win it is 0-1 (7.12%).

Result

Cerezo Osaka 48.98% (+0.10)
Draw 25.9% (-0.03)
Fagiano Okayama 25.09% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.79% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.19% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 25.81% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 49.51% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 50.49% (+0.06)
Over 3.5 27.35% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 72.66% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 15.42% (-0.07)
Under 4.5 84.58% (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Cerezo Osaka 34.81%
Draw 41.59% (+0.02)
Fagiano Okayama 23.6% (-0.01)

Team To Score First

Cerezo Osaka 53.91% (-0.05)
No Goal 7.43% (+0.01)
Fagiano Okayama 38.66% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 67.73% (-0.15)
Equal 8 10.34%
Under 8 21.92% (+0.13)
Over 9 56.3% (-0.14)
Equal 9 11.43% (-0.01)
Under 9 32.27% (+0.15)
Over 10.5 44.77% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 55.23% (+0.11)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 1.5 45.82% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 54.18% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 20.62% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 79.38% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 7.63%
Under 3.5 92.37%

Fagiano Okayama Goals

Over 0.5 60.77% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 39.23% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 26.9% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 73.1% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 8.97% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 91.03% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 2.44% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 97.56% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Cerezo Osaka 48.97%
Draw 25.88%
Fagiano Okayama 25.09%
Cerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 11.2% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.76% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.56% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.77%
3-0 @ 4.52% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.46%
Total : 48.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.43% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.88%
Fagiano Okayama
0-1 @ 7.12% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.92% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.27% (-0.03)
Total : 25.09%

Head to Head

J1 League
Oct 18, 2025 6.00am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
J1 League Gameweek 8
Apr 2, 2025 11.00am
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT KINCHO Stadium
  • Thiago Andrade 3' goal
  • Rafael Ratao 45'+3' goal
  • goal Ryunosuke Sato 44'
  • yellowcard Kota Kudo 45'+2'